Best Prop Bets for USA vs. Paraguay: World Cup Picks and Odds

Top USA vs. Paraguay Prop Bets Today

The odds for today’s USA vs. Paraguay World Cup game come from the DraftKings sportsbook, one of our recommended World Cup betting sites. Join DraftKings today and claim your welcome bonus: Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets instantly. More info on this offer can be found in our detailed DraftKings Sportsbook review.

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USA Prop Bets

While the longshot Team USA odds to win World Cup highlight their underdog status for the overall tournament, the USA is the heavy favorite to beat Paraguay in its first game. However, that expectation brings its own pressure, and it would certainly be a mistake to underestimate the South Americans.

USA to Win Second Half (+130) at DraftKings

We start our rundown of the best USMNT prop bets today by tipping a second-half win for the USA. Mauricio Pochettino’s team is the favorite to win this Group D clash, but Paraguay is capable of getting a result if the USA is not focused. It is a resilient, stubborn side that is happy to soak up pressure and make life difficult for its opponent. The USA will not have everything its own way.

Expect the co-host to have plenty of the ball in the first half, without necessarily creating many clear-cut chances. Paraguay will sit deep and look to frustrate the USMNT, so patience will be key. In its 18 qualifiers in South America, Paraguay was behind at half-time on only six occasions. It would not be a surprise if the score was level at the interval.

However, the USA will come on strong in the second half. When it beat Paraguay last November, it outscored its opponent after the break. And Pochettino has more game-changing options on the bench than his opposite number, Gustavo Alfaro. 

If Paraguay adopts a conservative approach as anticipated, its defense will come under more pressure in the second period when legs start to tire and minds lose concentration. Back the USA to win the second half at +130 with DraftKings.

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Tyler Adams 3+ Tackles (-115) at DraftKings

We now turn to the World Cup USA player props, where Tyler Adams is our focus. The midfielder is a key man for the USMNT and there is a good chance he will make at least three tackles against Paraguay.

The offensive line of the USA has received ample attention in the build-up to the World Cup, but you can make an argument that Adams is the most important member of the side. Pochettino’s roster is short on midfielders, so he will be praying that the four players who play in that position stay healthy throughout the summer - especially Adams, who is one of the first names on the team sheet.

The Bournemouth man averaged 2.4 tackles per game in the 2025/26 season, which placed him in the top quarter of all English Premier League midfielders. He made a monstrous eight tackles in the warm-up friendly against Germany last weekend, despite not being on the pitch for the full 90 minutes. 

Adams is not afraid to put his foot in and the USA will need him to be at his combative best against Paraguay. This will be a scrappy game in parts, and the USA will need to match Paraguay’s physicality and doggedness in the center of the field. That is where Adams comes in. Tip the USA’s No.4 to make three or more tackles at -115 with DraftKings.

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Paraguay Prop Bets

Paraguay is a defensive side and its organization at the back will pose the USA a challenge, but as reflected in the latest World Cup odds, there are question marks over its attacking output.

Paraguay Under 0.5 Goals (+123) at DraftKings

We conclude our roundup of USA vs Paraguay prop bets by taking a closer look at the co-host’s opponent. Many fans of the Stars and Stripes are worried about the defense this summer, particularly as Chris Richards has been struggling with an ankle injury. But there are reasons to be hopeful that the USMNT will keep a clean sheet even if the Crystal Palace center-back is not deemed fit enough for a place in the lineup.

Paraguay struggled to score goals throughout its qualifying campaign. It found the back of the net just 14 times in 18 matches (the third-worst record in the 10-team table) and failed to score in exactly half of those games. Without a solid backline, Gustavo Alfaro’s side would not be at this World Cup.

The USA will also draw confidence from the fact it has denied Paraguay a goal in two of its last three meetings with los Guaranies. And Paraguay's attacking prospects suffered a further blow last week. In its final tune-up game before the big kick-off, Julio Enciso was stretchered off after picking up an injury. The Strasbourg attacking midfielder is Paraguay’s principal creative spark in the final third. Without him, it is hard to see how it will create opportunities.

Enciso’s absence from today’s encounter is a boost to the USA’s chance of keeping a clean sheet. Go for under 0.5 goals for Paraguay at +123 with DraftKings.

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