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Check out our predictions and odds for the Dream Supreme Stakes at Churchill Downs!
*Odds provided by author Brian Zipse.
$4 Exacta Part Wheel - Club Car over All = $20
$2 Exacta Part Wheel - Coppelia over All = $10
$5 Exacta Part Wheel - Club Car and Coppelia over Sconsin and Joyful Cadence = $20
$5 Exacta Part Box - Club Car and Coppelia = $10
If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Club Car (4/1).
Classy sprinting mares Joyful Cadence and Sconsin renew their rivalry when they headline a field of six set for Sunday’s $300,000 Dream Supreme Stakes, going six furlongs on the main track at Churchill Downs.
Joyful Cadence is the likely favorite having finished ahead of her rival in their last three meetings.
A Runhappy filly trained by John Ortiz, she was a romping winner of the Saylorville Stakes this summer. Most recently she finished third in the Grade 2 Thoroughbred Club of America at Keeneland.
Sconsin, meanwhile, looks to return her to her winning ways back at her home track for trainer Greg Foley.
A four-time stakes winner, the Include mare has not won since scoring in Grade 3 Winning Colors at Churchill Downs back in May, but sports an excellent career mark of 11: 5-3-1 at the Louisville oval.
Palm Cottage, who won two impressive allowance races before having her winning streak broken when off the board in the Thoroughbred Club of America, and the stakes-winning Club Car also should also garner plenty of support in Sunday’s 6-furlong test.
After running second to her rival Sconsin early this year, this 4-year-old daughter of Runhappy has finished ahead of her in the last three meetings. Last out, she was third in the Grade 2 Thoroughbred Club of America, while beating three of her main rivals in here.
Trained by John Ortiz, the consistent filly will look to go right out to the lead and make the field beat her on Sunday. Off her very solid form this year, it is a strategy that may well work.
She is the one to beat, but there should be pace pressure for her to deal with. An obvious threat, I am going to take a shot to beating her as the likely favorite.
The most accomplished mare in the race, this daughter of Include is one good performance away from becoming racing’s newest millionaire. Having done most of her best racing at Churchill Downs, she is a five-time winner at the Louisville oval and a four-time stakes winner there.
Having said all that, it is fair to wonder if the Greg Foley-trained mare has lost a step this year. After having finished fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint two seasons ago, and having won two stakes last year, she just has not been quite as good this year.
Still, she won a stakes race to start this year and throwing out a rather dull sixth last time at Keeneland, she has been competitive in her starts. She is a must-include in the exotics.
This daughter of American Pharoah adds speed to the race and should give Joyful Cadence a run for the money in the early stages.
Like that rival, she faded out of the strong pace of the Thoroughbred Club of America, although she was done earlier. Before that, she had won a pair of nice allowance sprints at Ellis Park and Saratoga.
She could be getting good for trainer Paulo Lobo, and the last race can be excused, but I don’t know if we can expect her to put away Joyful Cadence this time. I like others better.
A 6-year-old Malibu Moon mare, this one has been a staple in Midwestern sprint stakes the past few years. Trained by Ben Colebrook, she has only won a stakes race once in her career, but she certainly has been knocking on the door of late.
Fifth last time in the Thoroughbred Club of America, prior to that she had rallied for second in three consecutive fast 6-furlong stakes races at three different tracks.
Back at a class level suited for her, I look for a breakthrough on Sunday. The pace should set up well for her rally and I look for her to come running. She is the top pick.
This daughter of Not This Time seems to be coming around of late for trainer Phil Bauer. She’s run three sharp sprints in a row, with the last one being the best yet. That one came in an easy allowance score at Keeneland only 2 1/2 weeks ago.
She still needs to prove that she can run with the big girls and get it done at Churchill Downs, where she is zero for four lifetimes, but as good as she is going right now, I believe she has earned this shot.
It appears sprinting is her game and with her ability to pass horses, I think she has a real shot in this small field while offering solid value.
This Chicago shipper will be the longest shot on the board. A winner of only a maiden race and an allowance race in 13 career starts, she lacks the credentials of the other female sprinters in the field.
Still, she is a pretty consistent sprinter, who comes in off a sharp effort last time at Hawthorne Park. That one came on the grass, but she looks to be solid on either surface.
She deserves to be a longshot here, but it would not surprise me to see her rallying into the bottom places of the exotics on Sunday.
What: Dream Supreme Stakes
Location: Churchill Downs
Time: Sunday, November 13 -- 4:33 pm Eastern time
How to Watch: TVG
Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.
Email: [email protected]
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