Lake George Stakes Predictions, Picks, Betting Odds (Saratoga)

Lake George Stakes Predictions

If you're playing only to win, go with my top pick Jouster (5/1)

Lake George Stakes Predictions, Post Position and Odds

Check out our predictions and odds for the Lake George Stakes at Saratoga!

PP Horse Odds Jockey Trainer
1 DEMODOG 20/1
C Landeros R Brisset
R Santana Jr J Abreu
J Rosario C Brown
J Velazquez G Motion
L Saez T Pletcher
6 AMY C 5/1
I Ortiz Jr C Brown
J Castellano B Lynch
J Ortiz C Brown
J Lezcano R Arnold II
10 MINAUN 7/2
M Franco C Brown

Four-time Eclipse Award-winning trainer Chad Brown will send out a talented quartet on Friday in search of his record fifth win in Saratoga’s Grade 3 Lake George Stakes. The $150,000 test for 3-year-old fillies will be run one mile over the Spa’s inner turf course.

Fluffy Socks, who won the Grade 3 Jimmy Durante in November at Del Mar to close out her 2-year-old season, is the only stakes winner of the four, but each of the other three looks poised to become graded stakes horses. The list includes Amy C, Minaun, and Technical Analysis. Each of them won impressively against the allowance company at the recently concluded Belmont Park meet.

Chief among their competition is the Todd Pletcher trained Jouster. Although fourth last time in the Grade 3 Wonder Again, the speedy daughter of Noble Mission has proved quite consistent in her five-lifetime turf races. Two starts back she went wire-to-wire in the Grade 2 Appalachian at Keeneland for her Hall of Fame trainer.

Another stakes winner in Kentucky is Navratilova. The well-bred daughter of Medaglia d’Oro won last time in the Tepin Stakes by a half-length at Churchill Downs, while going one mile for trainer Rusty Arnold.

Best Bets for the Lake George Stakes

Here are my plays ($50 in total)

$5 Exacta Part Wheel – Jouster over Fluffy Socks, Amy C, Tobys Heart and Minaun = $20

$5 Exacta Part Wheel – Fluffy Socks, Amy C, Tobys Heart and Minaun over Jouster = $20

Lake George Stakes Top Pick

Our Pick


Best Pick

Odds provided by Twinspires

How to Watch the Lake George Stakes

Lake George Stakes Race Information
Race Lake George Stakes (Grade 3)
Location Saratoga
Time Friday, July 23 — 5:39 pm Eastern time
How to Watch Fox Sports 1
Purse $150,000

Race Analysis


One of four trained by the King of Saratoga turf, Chad Brown, this one exits a sharp mile at Belmont Park, when a rallying second in the one-mile Wild Applause. The Irish-bred import had won her North American and seasonal debut in April at Belmont in an impressive 6f turf sprint. The daughter of Zoffany should only improve off the effort in what will be her third start off the layoff. This will be her toughest test yet, but she looks well suited for the mile trip and is clearly one of the biggest dangers in here.

Technical Analysis

Another from the Brown barn, she was a sharp winner of her seasonal debut two starts back in allowance company after closing out her juvenile season with an impressive maiden win. She was unable to back that form up when she finished sixth as one of the favorites in the Grade 3 Wonder Again last time. Also an Irish-bred, she could improve off her first try against stakes company, but as one of the favorites, I will not be jumping on her bandwagon after the disappointing finish last time.


The speed of the speed, this daughter of Noble Mission has done little wrong in five turf starts this year. She faced a tough field at 9 furlongs on good turf last time when fourth in the Wonder Again. I expect her to appreciate the cut back in distance on Friday. In her one previous try at a flat mile, she was a strong winner of a Grade 2 at Keeneland. I expect her to control the pace once again here, and from there it will be a matter of who is good enough to run her down. This is a very wide-open race, with numerous potential winners, but with her speed and consistency, I am going with her as the top pick.

Amy C

The third filly trained by Chad Brown, this daughter of Charming Thought ran two very good races on the all-weather track at Deauville to begin her career in France. Shipped to North America and into the powerhouse turf barn, she was a first-out winner in the U.S. while rallying for the victory in a Belmont Park allowance race last month. It’s another step up, but she has looked good enough in her first three races to believe that she may have the most potential of the Brown quartet. We shall see in this test, but she is clearly a big threat.

Fluffy Socks

The last of four trained by Brown is the one with the most experience having finished first or second in five of seven career races. The graded stakes-winning daughter of Slumber is proven at the one-mile distance, having won both her tries at the distance. She should appreciate the drop-down in distance after being beaten three lengths in the 9 furlong Wonder Again last time. I can’t say that I like her the best of the four from Brown, but she may offer the most value of the group and should not be discounted.

Runaway Rumour

This New York-bred daughter of turf champion Flintshire is also a half-sister to Myhartblongstodady, who was a stakes winner over the Saratoga turf last summer. Trained by Jorge Abreu, she is now 3-for-3 after she stepped up impressively last time into both stakes racing and open company while winning the Wild Applause. She is a threat to do it again, but I am looking for Minaun to turn the tables on her this time, and she is not even my top pick. Still, the undefeated filly is at least in with a fighting chance.


She became a stakes winner last time by stretching her speed in the one-mile Tepin Stakes at Churchill Downs at odds of 9/1. Despite the victory, I expect her to have attractive odds once again as she takes on graded stakes competition for the first time since last fall. It will only get tougher on Friday, though, as she faces an even more talented group this time around. It’s always hard to leave trainer Rusty Arnold out of the mix in a turf race, but I like too many others just a bit better.

Tobys Heart

The Jack Milton filly will return to Saratoga for the first time since winning last year’s 5 ½-furlong Bolton Landing in August. A two-time stakes winner, all three of her lifetime wins have come at the 5 ½ furlong distance, which is a concern against a field as deep as this going a mile. Having said that, her runner-up effort to Navratilova in the Tepinlast time in Kentucky was solid enough to believe that she could be ready to do something outside of a sprint distance. Yet another to consider in this wide-open event.

Invincible Gal

If you can forgive her last outing, where she threw in a dull seventh-place performance behind Navratilova and others as the favorite in the Tepin, this daughter of Invincible Spirit might be worth a second look. Trained by Graham Motion, the British-bred filly finished second in the Soaring Softly at Belmont Park two starts back and actually has finished runner-up in four stakes races total. While she could be an interesting play to bounce back, it is concerning that she has not won since her career debut six starts ago.


This daughter of American Pharoah will step up to stakes company for the first time after winning her first two for trainer Rodolphe Brisset. Both were on the Churchill Downs turf and good enough to believe that she has stakes potential, but at the same time, neither were impressive enough to love her chances in this tough field. Not completely out of it, but I am leaning elsewhere.

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Brian Zipse

Expert on Horse Racing

Taken to the races at a very young age, Brian has been a passionate fan of horse racing his entire life. Professionally, his work has been published on several leading industry sites. Brian served as the Editor of Horse Racing Nation from 2010-2017, where he still writes a regular column and hosts the popular weekly webcast HorseCenter.

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