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Both sides are not in the best of form heading into this tie but there’s quite a distance between the two sides on the Liga MX table. San Luis are currently in 11th place with 18 points on board, whereas Tigres are currently in 5th place and looking to battle it out at the top with the best sides in the league.
Tigres also have the superior head-to-head record with six wins, three draws and just one loss in the meetings between the two sides. Tigres will certainly be heading into this tie as the favorites. It’s just going to be a matter of making sure that San Luis and their fans are kept quiet in what should be a hostile atmosphere.
There wasn’t a lot between the two sides as far as score lines were concerned in their last meeting, which took place back in February. After a drab first half, San Luis opened the scoring thanks to Igor Lichnovsky in the 55th minute but all their good work to that point was undone after Juan Sanabria got his second yellow of the day 11 minutes later.
Tigres didn’t take too long to punish San Luis. Carlos Gonzalez equalized five minutes after the sending off and Andre Pierre Gignac scored what would turn out to be the winner in the 76th minute.
The stats skewed heavily in favor of Tigres in this match – they had 67% of possession and took 15 shots compared to San Luis’ five but this does not accurately reflect the twists and turns that took place in this tie and how decisive the sending off of Juan Sanabria turned out to be.
Pachuca are one of the strongest sides in the league, so it was never likely to be held against San Luis if they came up short against them, but they’ll be a bit disappointed with the 2-1 loss over the weekend.
Having equalized two minutes after Nicolas Ibanez opened the scoring for Pachuca in the 28th minute, San Luis were unable to really impose themselves after Abel Hernandez’s finely taken goal.
Pachuca were the superior side by some distance here, taking 23 shots and hitting 10 on target. San Luis could only manage eight shots in total. Tigres will be another tough tie but they’ll want to show more authority when they get on the ball since they are the home side.
With only 15 goals scored, only FC Juarez have scored fewer goals this season in the Liga MX. Jhon Murillo is the top scorer with three goals and this is simply not enough for a side after 16 games. Abel Hernandez, the other forward, has also scored just two goals so far.
It looks like they’ll struggle to find the back of the net all season, leaving their defense with too much to do in order to win football matches.
Despite all the struggles up front, they have shown some resolve at the back. They have only conceded 20 goals so far and considering how easy it is for most teams to throw bodies up front against them, this is a real positive. It’s also why they aren’t lower down the table.
They are unlikely to be able to hold out for 90 minutes against the best of teams and Tigres are definitely one of them. This will certainly be one of their toughest tests of the season.
Tigres lost all their composure over the weekend against Puebla, gifting them three points. It started in the very first minute, with Martin Baraggan opening the scoring. Tigres weren’t switched on and had now given themselves too much to do. Barragan got his second in the 29th minute, Tigres still trying to coast their way through this game instead of really competing.
They finally showed their quality when Samir opened their account for the day in the 42nd minute. They had most of possession in this game, as was expected of them, but couldn’t force enough shots on goal – getting 13 on the day, which wasn’t a lot more than what Puebla had managed. The game essentially ended when Luis Quiñones was sent off in the 77th minute. Florian Thauvin also joined him in added time to cap off a terrible night.
Andre-Pierre Gignac has been outstanding this season, scoring 11 goals and registering two assists as well. Unlike San Luis, they have no need of a goalscorer up front. They have got one of the best the league has to offer. Juan Vigon and Florian Thauvin have also chipped in with eight goals and three assists between them.
With such an attack, they could beat any team on their day. The goals haven’t really been shared all season, however, with the team only managing 21 goals so far this season. They seem to be heavily reliant on certain individuals and it’ll be interesting to see how the team manage when one of their star players isn’t available for whatever reason.
In their last five matches, Tigres have won just one of their away ties. They have got a win rate of 38% on the road this season. This has been the big difference between the sides above them and themselves.
San Luis are a decent team haggling in mid-table but if Tigres want to show that they are as good as the sides just above them, they’ll need to beat sides like San Luis comfortably. One of the issues away from the road has been their defense. Their expected goal against value is quite high here at 1.53 and their expected goals generated is 1.59.
Their expected goals conceded tally is 1.37, which shows just how leakier they are away from home. The goal threat is also not as great, with an expected goal value of 2.28 at home. If they don’t take their chance against an inconsistent San Luis side, they have no hope of making themselves a real contender of the Liga MX title. They have to take the initiative from the start in this tie and get all three points.
|Teams||Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL|
|Location||Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez|
|Time||Saturday, October 1 at 5:00 pm ET onwards|
|How to watch||Univision networks TUDN and UniMas, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes|
With an interest in strategy and mathematics, applying that to sports writing was the natural progression. A writer at night and the founder of a gaming company, Nikhil’s previous experience includes working with ESPN for five years. His specialization includes soccer, basketball, tennis, and esports betting. Email: [email protected]More info on Nikhil Kalro
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