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Guadalajara to win or draw, both teams to score (+150)
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Atlas have not been in good touch when facing Guadalajara and have won just twice in their last 10 meetings. Guadalajara have won seven times in those matches and hold the upper hand.
The only game that ended in a draw was when the two sides faced each other in the league this season. Both teams scored once, and the game saw three red cards – more than the number of goals.
Miguel Ponce was sent off for Guadalajara in the dying minutes of the first half, and Atlas’s Jairo Torres followed him seconds later. The two sides came out after the break, ready to pounce on the chance, and Roberto Alvarado made the most of it for the away side. He scored seconds after kick off for Guadalajara, and Atlas had to work hard for their goal. Julián Quiñones finally managed to equalize in the 90th minute but was sent off minutes later for arguing with the referee.
The last time Atlas won in this fixture was when the two sides met in Apertura back in October 2021. Aldo Rocha scored from the spot in the 27th minute. That game also had two red cards with Cristian Calderón, and Hiram Mier sent off for Guadalajara.
We expect this to be an intense battle, and won’t be surprised if there are a lot of cards forthcoming. However, the fact that this game is happening in the knockout round could mean that while discipline is awry, it may not be to the extent that players get sent off; who, after all, would want to miss out on the decisive second leg?
This will be among the closest fought battles in the quarter-final round and we expect both teams to score and match each other toe-for-toe. There’s a good chance that at the end of this game, neither team will be too disappointed heading into the second leg this weekend.
Guadalajara had a steady season and took some time to get into the groove. They lost three of their opening five matches but ended the league stage with four wins on the bounce to qualify for the playoffs.
Ricardo Cadena’s men started the season with a draw against Queretaro, but were quick to find their feet and pick up the win over Juarez. Alexis Vega and Jesús Ricardo Angulo scored in the final seven minutes of the game to seal the win, but they could not carry the momentum into the next game.
They went on a three-match losing streak and found it hard to get anything from their matches against Tigres UNAL, Club Leon, and Puebla. One positive was that they scored in every game and were not completely dominated by any side.
A five-match unbeaten streak followed the hat trick of losses, but they only managed one win in those games. They drew against Atletico de San Luis, Club America, Atlas, and Toluca but won against Santos Laguna.
They needed to find a way to convert those draws into wins and went all out against Monterrey, only to end up losing 3-1. Angel Zaldívar handed Guadalajara the lead in the 39th minute, but the away side struck back with Jesús Gallardo, Sebastián Vegas, and Arturo González to seal the win.
Still having a good chance of making it to the playoffs, Guadalajara took their chance with both hands. They went on a stunning four-match winning streak and finished level on points with 4th placed Club America. The only reason they finished outside the top 4 was their goal difference that stood at +4, while the 4th placed side had +7 to their name.
In the reclassification round, they were up against Pumas UNAM and managed to get a win with ease. Cristian Calderón handed them the lead in the 12th minute, but Diogo leveled things up 7 minutes later.
Guadalajara came out from the break with more energy and were attacking from the start. Fernando Beltran got their second goal of the game in the 51st minute before José Macías, and Alexis Vega struck late to seal a 4-1 win. They did not enjoy the majority of the possession but were able to get the goals when needed. Moreover, their defense was solid, and the goal they conceded was the only shot on target for Pumas in the whole game.
Ricardo Cadena will be looking for a similar performance against Atlas this week in both the legs of the fixture.
Atlas started their Clausura season in good touch and went on a six-match unbeaten streak. They weren’t always bossing those matches but were able to get the results going their way.
They kicked off with a 1-0 win over Atletico de San Luis thanks to an own goal from Ramón Juárez. Club Leon made them work hard for the point and held them to a 1-1 draw. Ángel Mena scored for the home side before Edgar Zaldívar equalized for Atlas in the second half.
Club America were up next for Atlas, and they managed to squeeze a 2-0 win. They were dominated by the home side, but with goals from Diego Barbosa and Jonathan Herrera in the second half, they ran away with the three points.
Hugo Nervo and Jairo Torres handed Atlas a comfortable 2-0 lead against Santos Laguna, and the opponents found it hard to get past the home defense. Harold Preciado pulled one back in the 84th minute, but the game did not see another goal, and it ended 2-1.
Puebla were flying high when they welcomed Atlas, and the away side managed to get another point on the board. Julián Quiñones gave Atlas the unlikely lead in the 85th minute, but Guillermo Martínez equalized in the 95th minute to end the game in a draw.
Pumas also could not get the better of Atlas, but they managed to end their scoring run. Diego Martin Cocca’s men could not find the back of the net for the first time, and the game ended in a goalless draw.
Club Tijuana replicated Pumas’ tactics and handed Atlas their first loss of the season. Marcel Ruíz and Christian Rivera scored early in the game, and it ended in a 2-0 for Tijuana.
Pachuca were on the march as well, and it was a crunch game. Atlas once again failed to score, while Roberto de la Rosa found the back of the net for the table toppers to seal a 1-0 win for them.
Atlas were at Queretaro when tragedy struck in the stands as the fans clashed during the game. The away side were leading 1-0 when the violence started, and the match was eventually suspended. Liga MX awarded a 3-0 win to Atlas after a hearing.
Atlas made it two wins on the bounce but had to battle to beat bottom-side Juarez. After scraping that result, they failed to make the most of it, and dropped points to Guadalajara and Cruz Azul in the next games.
In their last five matches of the season, Atlas picked up just two wins and had to crawl to the finish line. They finished 3rd in the table – just one point ahead of all of Club America, Puebla, Guadalajara, and Monterrey.
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|CD Guadalajara vs Atlas Information|
|Teams||CD Guadalajara vs Atlas|
|Time||Thursday, May 13 at 10.05pm EST|
|How to Watch||Univision networks TUDN and UniMas, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes|
Varun is a web journalist who has been writing on sports for 13 years. He took a shine for the MLS during the 2021 season and has been following it and writing about it since, alongside his work involving the English Premier League, La Liga, and the Serie A. He is deeply interested in soccer analytics and strategy and has aspirations to move into coaching at some point. Email: [email protected]More info on Varun Shetty
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