Guadalajara vs Monterrey Prediction, Betting Odds, Picks

  • Guadalajara are unbeaten in the last five games, but have picked up only one win in that time
  • Monterrey have three of their last five games and will be looking to break into the top 4 over their next three games
  • Guadalajara have been the dominant side the last few times these teams have met, winning 2 of the last five games and losing just once

Guadalajara vs Monterrey Odds

Guadalajara vs Monterrey Wednesday, April 13 at 9.05pm EST
Best Line
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Monterrey
Total Goals
2.5 +115 2.5 -145
Best Line Total
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Monterrey
10/10
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Guadalajara vs Monterrey

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Guadalajara vs Monterrey Prediction

Guadalajara and Monterrey are doing relatively well in terms of recent form – the former is unbeaten in the last five games, the latter has three wins and a draw in the last five – and the game should be a cracker. The home side will still be the underdogs as their recent games, despite the unbeaten run, have been ones in which they’ve struggled to score. The away side, meanwhile, are coming in with a two-match unbeaten streak, immediately after their three-match winning streak had ended just before the international break last month.

Guadalajara have a good record against Monterrey in their last 5 meetings. The home side has won two of their 5 matches and have lost just once. All their recent matches have been close encounters, without there being too many goals in the fixtures.

Things are expected to be the same, and the game could even end goalless. However, given Guadalajara’s lack of discipline and ability to close matches out from good positions, we think it is Monterrey who are slight favorites.

Guadalajara On A 5-Match Unbeaten Streak, But Still Unconvincing

Guadalajara have not been fantastic in their last 5 matches, but they have been unbeaten. The good news is that they have stopped leaking goals and have become solid at the back. However, they are unable to get the goals they need on the other side to win the matches right now. If they’d have sorted out that issue, say, three games ago, they might have been up there in and about 6th place with Monterrey, who are only 5 points ahead of them despite Guadalajara sitting in 14th place on the table.

After losing three matches on the bounce to Tigres UNAL, Club Leon, and Puebla, Marcelo Michel Leaño made changes to his tactics. He changed from a 4-2-3-1 and went for a more advanced 3-4-2-1.

The tweak has done wonders defensively for the team as they have conceded just 4 goals in their last 5 matches. The improvement is great as they had let in 8 goals in the 3 losses before the tweak.

Leaño first introduced the formation against Atletico de San Luis, and it did not begin well. They were down 2-0 at halftime, but the manager’s substitutions did the trick.

Fernando Beltran right after the restart, and Jesús Ricardo Angulo scored the equalizer with 20 minutes left to play. They dominated the game until the very end but could not find the winner.

Leaño was impressed with how his players adapted to the change and stuck with the formation for the game against Santos Laguna. José Macías scored 3 minutes after coming on in the second half, and that was enough to see them pick up a crucial 1-0 win.

Club America were up next for Leano’s men, and this time they had to work harder. The away side sat back and defended deep after Jonathan Dos Santos was sent off – making things difficult for Guadalajara. The game ended goalless as the home side managed just one shot on target despite 14 attempts.

Atlas took the game to Guadalajara, and the two sides were creating chance after chance – while also both picking up red cards. Roberto Alvarado finally found the back of the net for the away side after the hour mark, but Atlas managed to equalize in the 90th minute.

This past weekend, Guadalajara picked up another red card and conceded another goal in the dying moments of the game. Having sat back and absorbed the pressure for most of the game after Carlos Ernesto Cisneros had been sent off in the 24th minute, Guadalajara managed to go into the lead in the 68th minute through Jose Juan Marcias. Protecting that lead for the next 30 minutes proved to be beyond them, though, and two more points were dropped in the 7th minute of added time.

Leano’s side continue to seem like they’re on the right track, but also far away from effective game management – red cards and late goals are not the sign of a team that is in control of its destiny.

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Monterrey Are Keen On Climbing Up The Table

Monterrey needed a significant change after a disappointing start to the league, and the sacking of Javier Aguirre has done well for them, even though Aguirre had won them the CONCACAF Champions League just weeks before his sacking. Victor Vucetich has done well in his second stint as the manager of the club but suffered a loss right before the international break last month, their first since he took over.

Since the sacking of Aguirre, Monterrey have won 4, drawn once, and lost just once. They are moving up the table and now have a chance to make it into the top 4.

The first game after Aguirre was against Club America, and it did not kick off in the best possible way. They were behind after 34 minutes, and after a lengthy VAR check, the goal was awarded to Álvaro Fidalgo. However, Joel Campbell ensured that they did not have to wait long for the equalizer and made it 1-1 seconds after kick-off.

Heading into the break level on the scoresheet was a good motivation for the players, and they came back stronger. Rogelio Funes Mori scored 4 minutes after the restart, and that was enough for them to seal a 2-1 win.

Vucetich’s appointment made things better for the players as they now had a manager who had previously won the league at Monterrey. They were up against Mazatlan and registered another 2-1 win.

Stefan Medina opened the scoring in the 19th minute before Campbell found the back of the net again right before halftime. Miguel Sansores pulled one back for Mazatlan in the 72nd minute, but they could not get level.

Monterrey kept getting better and put on a stunning performance against Juarez. They were up against 10 men for most of the game after Fernando Arce Jr was sent off in the first half. Rodolfo Pizarro, Campbell, and José Alvarado scored in the second half to seal a big 3-0 win for Vucetich.

However, the dream run was always destined to come to an end for the new manager and it was away at Tigres UANL that it would come to a pretty abrupt stop, with a 2-0 loss. Despite their fixture crunch that was to come, Monterrey snuck in a friendly against Club America in the middle of the international break, returned to the Liga MX with a 2-2 draw against Toluca last Wednesday, and managed to sneak past Toluca this past weekend despite being a man down. Incidentally, the winning goal in the 83rd minute actually came 8 minutes after Joel Campbell had been sent off.

To us, that is a sign of a team that is full of ideas, can adjust on the fly, and can be a very real threat in the final third – the 20 goal attempts and 5 on target against Santos Laguna is proof of that. It’s going to be another hectic week ahead for them – Guadalajara on Wednesday, Pumas UNAM on Sunday, and Atlas on Wednesday.

By the end of that last fixture, they will have only 2 games left to play in the season. Should they continue with this unbeaten run, we won’t be surprised if they’ve broken into the top 4 by that time.

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How To Watch Guadalajara vs Monterrey

Guadalajara vs Monterrey Information
Teams Guadalajara vs Monterrey
Location Estadio Omnilife
Time Wednesday, April 13 at 9.05pm EST
How to watch Univision networks TUDN and UniMas, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes

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Varun Shetty WSN

Expert on Soccer

Varun is a web journalist who has been writing on sports for 13 years. He took a shine for the MLS during the 2021 season and has been following it and writing about it since, alongside his work involving the English Premier League, La Liga, and the Serie A. He is deeply interested in soccer analytics and strategy and has aspirations to move into coaching at some point. Email: [email protected]  

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