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The lone Liga MX fixture this weekend will feature two sides that are at the bottom of the barrel in the Clausura. This fixture was originally set to be played in February, but due to the tragic passing of Diego “El Puma” Chavez, who passed away on February 14, in a car accident. With the international break upon us league officials penned March 23rd as the date for the rescheduled fixture.
Understandably it’s been a tough year for FC Juarez off the pitch and even on the pitch. In last weekend's 1-0 loss to Queretaro, it looked like Los Bravos would register their first win in 2024. They controlled 69 percent of the possession and finished with 18 shots toward the target, but that still wasn’t enough to secure all three points.
Meanwhile for Puebla things are just as bad as the opponent they’re facing. Currently sitting two points above lowly Juarez, the visitors will look to snap their six-game losing streak. Making matters worse in 2024 for Puebla in five away fixtures this club has only bagged one goal, which happened in last weekend's 2-1 loss to Club Leon.
Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for FC Juarez vs. Puebla.
Heading into Saturday's contest, the books are favouriting the outcome that both teams will find the back of the net. For both teams to beat the keeper is listed at -163, and for both teams not to score is priced at +120. When it comes to keeping a clean sheet both sides are abysmal as FC Juarez hasn’t kept one in nine straight matches, while for Puebla it’s 15 games in a row.
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On the pitch, it’s evident this is a struggling side who are struggling to find any momentum on attack. As they rank last in the Clausura table, the club also sits at the bottom for goals scored per match averaging 0.6. What’s keeping this team together by a thread is their defensive play. Los Bravos are averaging 1.6 goals against per match which is 10th best. Puebla will have to be sharp as Juarez is the second-best club in the competition for interceptions per match averaging 10.9.
One of the key pieces on the backend is Francesco Calvo. The 31-year-old is settling in nicely to his new surroundings not looking out of place in Liga MX. Appearing in all 810 minutes of play, Calvo is leading his side in most of the defensive categories. The fullback will be the focal point of this match with his successful stout defending that could make life difficult for Puebla bagging one past the keeper.
On the road this season, Puebla has had to labour preventing the ball from finding the back of the net. In five away matches, this side is conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. On attack, the club is underperforming registering nine goals total when the expected goals (xG) is 11.8. Despite Los Camoteros scoring struggles, they are just below the league average clipping at a 55 percent rate for both teams to score in a match.
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Both teams to score average in the 2024 Clausura is currently averaging 59 percent. These two sides in this encounter are below average, but don’t let that scare you off.
Puebla has participated in both teams finding the score sheet in four of their last five matches. Los Camoteros Clausura's run of matches has been involved in high-scoring matches, In each of their 11 games, no match finished with two goals or less.
On the other hand for Los Bravos, in seven of their last nine contest, they have appeared in games that featured two or more goals being registered. Goals have been hard to come by for Juarez, but they’re hosting a side that has allowed a league-high 27 goals.
FC Juarez vs. Puebla pick: Both teams to score YES (-163) at bet365
When: Saturday, March 23, 9 p.m ET
Where: Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
TV: Univision, Telemundo, Fox Sports, ESPN, Vix and Sling TV
Hailing from the great white north in Canada, over the last 15 years, Angelo has been wagering on sports and, more specifically, the sport that’s in his blood, soccer. Well-versed in soccer leagues across the globe, keeping tabs on what’s happening in the world of soccer. Since 2022, Angelo has published MLS betting previews on various websites, including on Major League Soccer's official betting page for a short while. Through the power of social media, Angelo has been invited to talk soccer betting on national TV & radio on Sports Grid.
In Angelo’s free time, he can be found walking his dog and lounging at home watching any game that's on while enjoying his second favourite thing after sports: food!
More info on Angelo Zarra
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