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Can Chivas de Guadalajara defy the odds and get at least a point here?
In their chase towards a playoff spot this Liga MX season, interim manager Marcelo Michel Leaño has leaned towards a more defensive approach that has earned them two consecutive draws.
They are inching closer to the playoffs, and given that they’ll be away to Tigres, it’s almost a guarantee that Leaño will once again take fewer risks and sit back.
As for Tigres, they’ve continued to be hit or miss this season under manager Miguel “Piojo” Herrera.
And up against more defensive teams, they’ve had issues with securing wins.
Tie for Tigres vs Chivas (+240)
Only three points separate Tigres and Chivas.
Tigres — who’ve had five wins, seven draws and three losses — have been average at best under Herrera.
Although they’ve had a few big victories, the norm for most of the 2021 Apertura has been unexciting draws for their roster that have had issues with closing out games.
Looking at Chivas — who sit three points below Tigres with four wins, seven draws and four losses — their story is more of very small improvements in recent weeks.
Since former manager Victor Manuel Vucetich was dropped in September, Chivas have picked up much-needed points through a more cautious approach.
It isn’t breathtaking soccer, but it’s working for Leanño…
They aren’t out there creating a high number of dangerous chances, but at the very least, Chivas have made things difficult for several of their recent opponents.
Despite the fact that Chivas aren’t putting up high numbers for themselves in the final third, their last three matches have averaged an xG (expected goals) tally of 0.73 for opposing attacks.
If trends continue, this means they’ll continue to focus on stifling chances in their own half.
As mentioned earlier, it’s not the most thrilling approach, but it’s enough for Leaño and his roster to potentially move into the playoffs.
This month, we’ve seen it in three of Tigres’ four matches: A lack of good finishing.
Even though they boast some of the most prominent names in the league, Tigres have had problems with finding the back of the net.
Outside of Nico “Diente” Lopez, who only has one goal since September, no other Tigres players have scored more than three times this season.
It’s a serious problem that has emerged for Herrera.
And assuming that Chivas will sit back, Tigres could be on their way to their third draw in October.
One thing that hasn’t been talked about enough is how Chivas have actually played satisfactory soccer outside of their home ground.
In their seven away matches from this season, they’ve only lost once — and that was a narrow 1-0 defeat that featured two red cards within their starting XI.
Once again, they aren’t out there pulling in plenty of wins, but instead, they’ve garnered necessary away points that will be valuable in their playoff chances.
On the cusp of potentially moving closer to a postseason invitation, expect them to aim for their sixth away draw of the Apertura.
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Tigres vs Chivas de Guadalajara Information | |
Teams | Tigres vs Chivas de Guadalajara |
Location | Estadio Universitario (Monterrey, Mexico) |
Time | Saturday, October 30th at 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET |
How to Watch | Univision, TUDN |
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Freelance writer Cesar Hernandez is a specialist in all things American and Mexican soccer. He has written for ESPN FC, The Athletic, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, VICE Sports and several other publications. Along with writing and previous radio appearances on the BBC, talkSPORT and SiriusXM FC, Cesar is also a member of the Mexican Soccer Show podcast. Email: [email protected]
More info on Cesar Hernandez
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