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Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Buxton Loves Lefties

Published: June 12, 2025, 08:30 AM ET
3 min read
Best MLB Home Run Props Today June 12

Byron Buxton has always been a good player, but he has been especially great when facing lefties on the mound. The outfielder’s impressive numbers against southpaws make him a tempting bet to go deep against Patrick Corbin and the Rangers tonight.

Below, we’ll share why we are locking this one in, along with two other home run props we love.

The odds we use for our bets below are taken from Caesars Sportsbook. If you’d like to sign up and give Caesars a try, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boost Tokens” offer.

For more daily MLB coverage, check our Best NRFI Bets Today.

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Home Run Picks for Thursday, June 12

Wilmer Flores Anytime Home Run (+400) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Giants’ first baseman has been having another solid season and ranks second on the team with 11 home runs. With Matt Chapman landing on the IL with a hand injury, Flores is going to be the star slugger to watch against the Rockies tonight.

Champan will be facing Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela (1-10, 6.68 ERA, 1.97 WHIP) to start today’s game. The 30-year-old is having an awful season and isn’t showing any signs of improvement. 

Once Senzatela exits, he’ll be turning things over to one of the worst bullpens in baseball. That means he’ll have plenty of chances to go deep in Denver.

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Aaron Judge Anytime Home Run (+200) at Caesars Sportsbook

After a very short cold streak, Aaron Judge is back in a big way. He has been getting on base a ton and has five home runs over his last three games alone. It seems nearly impossible to contain the two-time MVP when he gets hot like this, making him the safest home run prop bet on the board today.

Royals’ starter Seth Lugo (3-5, 3.46 ERA, 1.17 WHIP) has had success against Judge in the past, but he’s been vulnerable to the long ball this season. He has given up five home runs over his last three starts, despite not allowing many hits or runs. The 35-year-old could deliver a quality start, but it will include a couple of home runs allowed.

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Byron Buxton Anytime Home Run (+320) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Twins star has just 10 home runs on the season, but he is set up to add to that total tonight. 

There are two reasons we are locking in Buxton tonight. The first is his play at home, where his OPS is .930. He hits with so much more confidence in the Twin Cities, where he has hit six of his ten home runs. 

The other reason is his numbers against left-handed pitching, which he’ll face tonight in Patrick Corbin (3-5, 3.52 ERA, 1.17 WHIP). He owns a 1.002 OPS in 31 at-bats against southpaws this season. This has been a theme throughout his career, and it won’t change tonight.

Buxton has faced Corbin just six times, but has gone deep twice.

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Michael Savio WSN Contributors

Michael Savio

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Gambling News
MLB
NCAAB
Online Sports Betting
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 3 years
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