Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Locked in on Some Magnificent Mashers in Milwaukee

We have some excellent home run prop bets on the board for today, but several come from a matchup between the Blue Jays and Brewers. While it's not one many baseball fans will tune in for, they feature some veteran sluggers who are facing very favorable pitching matchups. We’ll share which two hitters we like from that game, along with one other we’re locking in.

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Best Home Run Props Picks for Thursday, April 16

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Home Run Picks for Thursday, April 16

There are some fantastic home run props out there today, but some stand above the rest. Below are the three players we’re locked in on.

Daulton Varsho to Hit a Home Run (+500) at Caesars Sportsbook

Varsho posted solid power numbers last year, despite injuries limiting him to 71 games. The slugger smacked 12 home runs after returning from the IL on August 1, and added another three in the playoffs, including one during the World Series. His late-season surge has already begun to shift the upcoming World Series odds in his team's favor.

While the center fielder started the 2026 campaign slowly, he’s looking like the star he was down the stretch for the Blue Jays last season. Heading into Wednesday, he’s batting .391 with three home runs over his previous five games. Expect to see his hot bat continue tonight with some favorable matchups on the mound.

The Crew will start rookie Brandon Sproat (0-1, 10.45 ERA, 2.32) to start the game tonight. The 25-year-old was shelled over his first two starts, only showing slight improvement in his third. Control remains his biggest issue, and will make him vulnerable to Varsho today.

The Brewers' bullpen has been elite for years, but suddenly, the team can’t find anyone to step up when they have a lead. It’s led to a lot of losses after their hot start, and means the Jays will likely see some favorable pitches throughout this game.

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Gary Sanchez to Hit a Home Run (+350) at Caesars Sportsbook

We’re sticking in Milwaukee for our second home run prop bet of the day. 

The Brewers have already lost three hard-hitting stars to injury, leading Gary Sanchez to emerge as their top power threat. The veteran catcher has stepped up to lead the team with five home runs on the season, with two coming this week. Most of his success has come at home this season, where he is batting .357 and has registered four of his five long balls.

Sanchez will be facing an aging veteran on the mound tonight in Patrick Corbin (0-0, 9.00 ERA, 1.75 WHIP). The 26-year-old is a two-time All-Star and a World Series champion, but his game has fallen off a cliff since 202. He’s posted an ERA over 5.00 in four seasons since then, with his WHIP consistently among the highest in the league.

Corbin’s first start didn’t do anything to change our opinion on the status of his career. He allowed two home runs over four innings against a Twins team without much power. That is a very good sign for the red-hot Sanchez.

Sanchez has faced Corbin 11 times over his career, posting a home run and four hits.

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Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run (+220) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Astros look far from the AL West powerhouse they once were, but that isn’t due to Yordan Alvarez. The star outfielder is batting .317 with six home runs and 16 RBIs to start the season, and continues to crush the ball on contact, regardless of where he is playing. Despite his elite production, Houston’s slow start has caused a significant shift in the AL West odds, as they now sit behind the Mariners and Rangers in the race for the division crown.

While the Rockies won’t be playing at the hitter-friendly Coors Field, there is still reason to bet against their pitching tonight.

Colorado will have Tomoyuki Sugano (1-0, 2.16 ERA, 0.78 WHIP) on the mound tonight. The 36-year-old Japanese star made his debut in the MLB rast season in Baltimore, but struggled, allowing a whopping 33 home runs over 30 starts. While he’s looked far better over his first three starts for Colorado, he’s still allowed four home runs over 16 2/3 innings.

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