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AL West Winner Odds & Predictions 2024: Playoff Hopes Are on the Line in the Final Week of the Season

Written by: Michael Savio
Updated September 26, 2023
20 min read

After winning the 2022 World Series, the Houston Astros will look to defend their AL West division title against a field that is now down to just three teams. The Astros, Mariners, and Rangers all sit within three games of each other atop the division with just one week to go!

We have deep-dived into the division to determine who will be crowned champion this season. We are looking at the current sportsbook odds, offseason roster moves, projected stats, and more to give you the inside track on how to bet on the AL West. We will continue to update this weekly so you know you always have the most up-to-date odds and information.

Let’s start by looking at the odds for each team from some of the best MLB betting sites.

AL West Winner Odds

Odds for the AL West Winner are no longer available.

AL West Winner: Our Pick

We jumped back on the Rangers bandwagon last weekend, and they did not disappoint. Texas now leads the division by 2.5 games, thanks to going 5-1 last week. They’ll face an awful Angels team before heading to Seattle to close out the year. Their offense is clearly back, and we have seen how dominant they are when it is. Look for them to win at least five of their seven remaining games, leading to their first AL West division title since 2016.

AL West Winner Odds

Texas Rangers Predictions

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The Rangers’ season went off the rails late in August, but there is no denying they are back on track. They won five straight games to close out last week, including a crucial sweep of the Mariners. That has put them back on top of the division with a 2.5-game lead. Now Texas will head to Los Angeles to take on an Angels squad that has lost nine of their previous 11 games. A sweep would all but lock up the division lead as the Mariners and Astros battle in Seattle.

The biggest reason for the Rangers breaking out of their funk is their offense. Texas has one of the best lineups in baseball, but they lost their way late in the season. That slump has ended, as they scored a whopping 42 runs last week. Their lineup received a big boost when the team called up 21-year-old outfielder Evan Carter. Since joining the team on September 8, the rookie has a .318 batting average, a .705 slugging percentage, four home runs, ten RBIs, and three stolen bases. Carter doesn’t appear to be slowing down, as he has three home runs, six hits, and seven RBIs over his last four games.

All eyes will be on the Rangers’ pitching over the next week. While they had a great week from their starting rotation, the back of the bullpen remains an issue. Chapman has a 5.14 ERA in September, while Will Smith’s sits at 9.00. We think the Texas offense will be good enough to cover this issue next week, but it will undoubtedly be a significant problem in the postseason.

Houston Astros

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A lot of money was wagered on the Astros to win the AL West in September, but their chances don’t look good coming into the final stretch. They sit 2.5 games behind the Rangers and are just 0.5 games up on the Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot. That means they could potentially miss the playoffs altogether, and their schedule isn’t going to do them any favors. Houston will face the Mariners to open the week, which will likely have the feel of a playoff series. After that, they will take on a good Diamondbacks team fighting to make the playoffs. While we think they lock in a Wild Card spot, we don’t see them catching the Rangers.

The good news for Houston is that Jose Altuve continues to see the ball well. Though he missed a lot of the season with injuries, he owns a .311 batting average with 17 home runs and 49 RBIs. The bad news is the rest of the lineup has not been good. That has been highlighted by Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman combining for just five hits and three RBIs over their last seven games. Kyle Tucker hasn’t been much better, meaning three of the team's four top bats are slumping. Those cold streaks won’t last forever, but they may be unable to turn things around in just one week.

Speaking of slumps, Justin Verlander (11-8, 3.44 ERA) finds himself in the midst of one at the worst possible time. The former Cy Young winner has a 5.19 ERA across four starts this month. That includes an alarming performance against the A’s, where he allowed five runs on eight hits across seven innings. While Framber Valdez appears to have settled down, Houston doesn’t have the depth to survive if Verlander can’t deliver a better performance this week.

Seattle Mariners

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The Mariners were horrendous in the first half of the season but rallied in July and August to climb back into the AL West race. While they briefly led the division, they have looked like the team from the first half of the season of late. They were swept in a critical series with the Rangers, who they will have four games against this weekend to close the season. Before they can worry about that, the Mariners must take care of business as they welcome an Astros team that leads them by a 0.5 in the Wild Card and division race.

If you want to know how the Mariners are doing, you simply need to check on Julio Rodrigeuz’s play. The 22-year-old struggled through the first three months but turned things around in a big way since July 1. J-Rod was especially brilliant in August, posting a .429 batting average, seven home runs, 30 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases. Seattle went 18-5 that month, which brought them back into the division race. However, the star has cooled off in September, resulting in the Mariners going 8-14. J-Rod was good last week, but we think it is too little too late.

Another big reason for the Mariners' September struggles is their starting rotation. Seattle’s is one of the best in the league, but they have not played like it this month. They own a combined 4.73 ERA thanks to Bryce Miller, George Kirby, and Bryan Woo, who all own ERAs over five this month. We don’t expect that to continue, but it won’t make much difference if their offense can’t turn things around.

How to Place a Futures Bet on the AL West Division

Future bets can be a fun alternative to single-game bets. They involve betting on the final outcome of the MLB season. You can bet on division winners, league winners, World Series Champs, stat leaders, and award winners. The earlier you place a bet, the better the odds.

The process is relatively straightforward if you want to place a future bet. Simply visit your favorite online sportsbook and follow these steps:

  1. Select the MLB tab
  2. Once on the MLB odds page, search for a section labeled “futures”
  3. Choose which category you’d like to bet
  4. Select the team or player you want and submit your bet ticket

Once that is done, you are all set. If your bet wins, your winnings will be automatically added to your account.

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AL West Division Winner FAQ

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Image for Michael Savio


Michael Savio

352 Articles

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.

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