Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Favorable Pitching Matchups Fuel Tuesday’s Home Run Targets

Once again, it’s important to point out that pitching needs to be a factor when choosing targets for home run props. Tuesday is an excellent example of that, as we’ve chosen hitters who are facing pitchers who have been prone to the long ball either this year or in the past. With any luck, that will help pull us out of our early-season slump.

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Best Home Run Props Picks for Tuesday, April 28

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Home Run Picks for Tuesday, April 28

Junior Caminero Anytime Home Run (+340) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Caminero is a key cog for a Tampa team that has won five games in a row. Despite going just 2 for 12 over the last three games, Caminero should be considered a daily threat to go deep. He’s already hit eight home runs this season, and after mashing 45 homers last year, that power will keep showing up.

Tuesday’s matchup against Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee is a favorable one for Caminero. He’s 3 for 9 with a home run in his career against Bibee. It’s also worth noting that Bibee was one of the worst pitchers in baseball last year when it came to giving up home runs. He’s already allowed five this year, so a hitter with Caminero’s power has a chance to take him deep.

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Kyle Schwarber Anytime Home Run (+225) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Schwarber’s .196 batting average continues to be frustrating for the struggling Phillies, but his power is undeniable. After going deep on Monday, Schwarber now has nine home runs on the season. While he’s yet to homer in back-to-back games in 2026, he’s also a potential home run target just about every day.

On Tuesday, Schwarber and the Phillies face San Francisco’s Tyler Mahle. Schwarber has two career home runs against Mahle, going 6 for 19 overall against the righty. More importantly, Mahle has already given up six home runs this season, including four in his last road start. In a hitter-friendly place like Citizens Bank Park in Philly, Mahle could be in trouble.

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Juan Soto Anytime Home Run (+290) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It’s hard to bet on any member of the Mets to get a hit, much less a home run, right now. They are quite a pathetic team, scoring just four total runs while getting swept by the Rockies over the weekend. Even Soto has just one home run this year, although he’s also missed time with an injury.

On the other hand, the Mets face Zack Littell on Tuesday. Littell has gotten lit up for 11 home runs this season, by far the most any pitcher has allowed in 2026. He’s allowed multiple home runs in four of his five starts, including four in his last outing. Conventional wisdom says even the Mets can take Littell deep. With nine of those 11 home runs being hit by left-handed hitters, Soto is the best option.

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Julio Rodriguez Anytime Home Run (+540) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With just two home runs on the season, Rodriguez is becoming more of a long-shot pick to hit a home run than an obvious candidate. But since he’s only 25 and has multiple 30-homer seasons under his belt, the power has to come at some point. That gives Rodriguez good value as a home run target with the right matchup.

On Tuesday, Rodriguez has a favorable matchup against Minnesota’s Joe Ryan. While he’s only allowed three home runs all season, Ryan gave up two home runs against the lowly Mets in his last start, showcasing the ups and downs he’s had in 2026. More importantly, Rodriguez is 5 for 11 with a home run and two doubles in his career against Ryan, making it easy to believe he’ll have a big game on Tuesday.

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