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Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect Jacob deGrom to Neutralize the New York Yankees

Published: April 28, 2026, 09:00 AM ET
5 min read

With the New York Yankees struggling to generate Hits, negative regression looms large against Jacob deGrom who excels at avoiding contact. Before their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the Los Angeles Angels as Jose Soriano will be able to build on his red hot momentum by taking advantage of an underwhelming Chicago White Sox offense.

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Best NRFI Bets for Tuesday, April 28

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Best NRFI Bets TodayBetMGMKalshi To Win
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers - Under 0.5 Run-145New York Yankees 54%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox - Under 0.5 Run-125Los Angeles Angels 56%
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Best NRFI Bets Today 2026 04 28 Yankees Cam Schlittler

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers - Cam Schlittler vs. Jacob deGrom (8:05 PM, EST)

With Jacob deGrom on the mound, expect the New York Yankees to struggle to advance their runners by making contact, lowering their chances of scoring.

Under 0.5 Run (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After going 8-2 in their last ten games, the New York Yankees have been able to reclaim the top spot in the AL East division standings, possessing a 1.5 game lead for first as of writing. While their offense has been able to thrive during that span, the Yankees have shockingly struggled to make contact, ranking 22nd overall in Hit Rate. Despite these contact issues, oddsmakers remain confident in the team's ability to maintain their lead, as the current AL East odds still favor the Bronx Bombers as the clear frontrunners to take the division title.

Unfortunately for the Yankees, their struggles with barreling up the ball are poised to persist against the Texas Rangers, battling it out against Jacob deGrom who is averaging less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. Especially with his back end excelling in coverage, fielding a group who ranks in the top-10 in Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, Cam Schlittler is projected to get the start on the mound, bringing with him a surgical arm who is averaging a league leading WHIP of 0.729 and a FIP of 1.53. With the Rangers ranking well below league average in Contact Rate, On Base Percentage, and in OPS, expect Schlittler to get off to a hot start and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox - Jose Soriano vs. Davis Martin (7:40 PM, EST)

With the Chicago White Sox severely struggling on offense, expect Jose Soriano to put together a dominant performance and remain in contention for the AL Cy Young award. Following a historic April start where he allowed just one earned run over his first 37.2 innings, his current AL Cy Young odds place him firmly among the top favorites.

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since the start of the regular season, Jose Soriano’s odds of winning the AL Cy Young award have skyrocketed, averaging an ERA of 0.24, a WHIP of 0.823, and a FIP of 2.22. Soriano’s success on the mound stems from his Whiff Rate, averaging more than one Strikeout per inning.

Heading into Tuesday night, expect Soriano to strengthen his claim for the award by exploiting a Chicago White Sox lineup who ranks below league average in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Even with his back end struggling in coverage, Soriano’s individual production will force them into low quality contact scenarios, lowering the probability he gets burned by an error.

Like the White Sox, the Angels have also struggled with making contact at a consistent rate, slipping down into the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate. With Davis Martin projected to get the nod, expect the Angels to get off to a slow start, battling it out against an arm who is averaging an ERA of 2.01 and less than one Hit per Inning Pitched.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

  • Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres - Edward Cabrera vs. Walker Buehler - With Walker Buehler averaging a WHIP of 1.623 and an ERA of 5.75, his struggles on the mound will be on full display as he faces off against a Chicago Cubs lineup who ranks in the top-4 in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage.

  • Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - Zack Littell vs. Clay Holmes - Positive regression looms large over the New York Mets top of their order on Tuesday night as they battle it out against Zack Littell who is currently averaging a FIP of 8.61 while supported by a defense who ranks 25th in Defensive Efficiency.

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: kody.malstrom@wsn.com
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