Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Five Pitchers to Target on Monday

While we didn’t set out to do this, all five of our MLB prop bets on Monday are pitchers. That’s just the way things turned out given that not every team is in action. Of course, we’re fading three of the five pitchers, so we’re not overlooking hitters completely because some of these pitchers are bound to struggle. Nevertheless, this should be a good experiment to target only pitchers. The odds for Monday’s bets are from Caesars Sportsbook, which is offering a $1,000 First Bet on Caesars to new users with our promo code WSN1000.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Reds vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Kevin Gausman Over 1.5 Walks (-145) at Caesars

Gausman has been a walk machine lately, walking at least two batters in five straight starts and six of his last seven starts since the beginning of July. In fact, in four of his last five starts, Gausman has walked at least three batters. To be fair, he’s won five of his last six games and is rocking a 2.75 ERA in August. But the fact that he’s pitching better and going deeper into games makes him more likely to walk multiple batters in this game. The 33-year-old can’t blow away hitters like he used to, so he has to pitch around the edges, making him more likely to walk batters, which makes us confident in this bet.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Angels vs. Royals (8:10 PM, EST)

Carson Fulmer Over 2.5 ER (-123) at Caesars

Fulmer has had mixed results lately, allowing at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. He allowed five runs in just three innings against the Blue Jays in his last start and gave up three runs to the lowly A’s in back-to-back starts in late July. That alone makes us want to fade him on Monday. Also, the Royals are red-hot offensively, scoring 28 runs over their last three games. With an MVP candidate like Bobby Witt Jr. leading the way, Kansas City’s lineup should do some damage against Fulmer.

Seth Lugo Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-113) at Caesars

The luster is off Lugo a little, as he has a 6.23 ERA over his three starts in August. He’s gotten shelled in each of his last two starts, giving up at least six hits in both starts, something he’s done in three of his last six starts. However, he’s good enough to have a bounce-back effort, especially against a lackluster offensive team like the Angels. The Halos haven’t scored more than three runs in six straight games, averaging exactly two runs per game during that stretch. These odds are more than fair for Lugo to give up five hits or less against a subpar lineup, so we’ll give him the benefit of the doubt.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Red Sox vs. Astros (8:10 PM, EST)

Yusei Kikuchi Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+112) at Caesars

We love the value of this pick because oddsmakers have overreacted to Kikuchi’s success since being traded to Houston. In those three starts, he’s allowed four hits or less in each start, conceding just 10 total hits in 16.2 innings. But before the trade, Kikuchi allowed at least five hits in seven of his final starts with Toronto. On Monday, he’s facing a Boston lineup that knows him well and had success against him earlier this year, making this a good time to fade him.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM, EST)

Bryan Woo Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+106) at Caesars

Even though Woo isn’t a bonafide strikeout pitcher, he’s collected at least six strikeouts in three straight starts and at least five in four of his last five starts. Obviously, the Dodgers are a tough matchup for him. But the LA lineup is middle of the road in striking out, so it’s not as if they’re a harder team to strike out than the average team. With the way Woo has pitched lately and the value of this bet, it’s worth a shot.

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