Monday is an off day for the National League, but both series in the ALDS will play Game 2. Since all of these teams have played just one game in the last few days, the advantage could be with the starting pitchers, which is the angle we’re taking with our props on Monday.
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Naylor doesn’t strike out quite as much as you might think for a player with his power. But he did strike out in Game 1 of the series and has three strikeouts in 11 postseason at-bats. Naylor also has a tough lefty-on-lefty matchup against Tarik Skubal, who is likely to go deep into the game. Naylor is just 1 for 9 in his career against Skubal. While he only has two strikeouts in those nine at-bats, he's still going to be vulnerable to striking out against the MLB strikeout leader.
Ironically, the over/under on strikeouts for Skubal is only 5.5. He’s gone over that number in seven consecutive starts, although he had the advantage of facing some subpar lineups. It’s important to note that the Guardians finished the season with the fourth-fewest strikeouts in the majors. Naylor’s matchup aside, the Guards don’t have a lot of players who are going to strike out a lot, even against Skubal. The success of his September could continue to carry over into the playoffs, but that may not necessarily translate into a lot of strikeouts against a Cleveland lineup that was clicking in Game 1 and doesn’t have a lot of strikeouts.
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Rodon’s control has been an issue lately. He’s walked multiple batters in four of his last six starts and is prone to high walk totals, including four in his final start of the regular season. However, the Royals amassed the third-fewest walks in the majors this year. With a young team that’s inexperienced in the playoffs, Kansas City’s hitters could be even more aggressive, especially now that they’re behind in the series. That should help Rodon avoid issuing walks. It’s also questionable how deep he’ll be allowed to go, making it less likely that he’ll end up with multiple walks.
Ragans was amazing during the Wild Card Round, throwing six scoreless innings against the Orioles. Going back to the regular season, he’s thrown 18 consecutive scoreless innings and has allowed just one run over his last 19 innings. It’s also worth noting that players on the Yankees roster are a combined 2 for 21 (.095) against Ragans. One of those hits was a two-run home run from Juan Soto, but other than that, Ragans dominated the Yankees when he faced them in September. He should be able to pick up where he left off, giving the Royals a quality start in Game 2.
When the Yankees faced Ragans in September, Stanton struck out in two of his three at-bats. He also went 0 for 4 with two strikeouts in Game 1 of this series. By his nature, Stanton is a hitter who is always vulnerable to striking out. Since he’s played just one game in the last week, he figures to be rusty, especially against a quality pitcher like Ragans. Plus, Stanton has struck out multiple times in three of the last five games that he’s started, so there is a good chance that he’ll repeat that on Monday.
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