Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Tigers vs. Angels in the Spotlight with Mize and Kikuchi on the Mound

Thursday’s MLB schedule is full of day games, which are sometimes tricky, especially if you want to target hitters. That’s why we’ve chosen to focus on the night games on today’s schedule. While that’s somewhat limiting, we still managed to find some great value in MLB prop bets.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Nationals vs. Phillies (6:45 PM, EST)

Taijuan Walker Under 2.5 ER (+120) at bet365 Sportsbook

It’s been an interesting season for Walker, who’s failed to complete five full innings in four of his first five starts. He’s also failed to go beyond five innings since his first start of the season. However, Walker has also allowed two runs or fewer in four of his five starts. Yet, we’re still getting plus-odds for him to do the same on Thursday.

It feels foolish not to take a chance on a pitcher with a 2.78 ERA. The fact that Walker isn’t throwing a lot of innings makes it easier for him to escape without giving up more than two runs.

Plus, Washington hitters are a combined 8 for 47 (.170) against Walker, who should be able to handle the Nationals.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM, EST)

Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105) at bet365 Sportsbook

Duran has had a fire lit under him in recent days. He’s 10 for 20 with three extra-base hits over his last four games. In fact, going back to April 13, he has at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 games. Even more impressive, Duran has gone over 1.5 total bases in seven of his last eight games. While we regret not targeting Duran sooner, we might as well jump on the bandwagon before he cools down.

On Thursday, this bet feels like a sure thing, with Duran being 9 for 18 (.500) with five doubles and three home runs in his career against Toronto starter Jose Berrios. Based on his past against Berrios and how he’s swung the bat over the past week, it’d be shocking to see Duran have a bad game.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Tigers vs. Angels (9:38 PM, EST)

Casey Mize Under 2.5 ER (-140) at bet365 Sportsbook

Full disclosure, we would have taken Mize to give up fewer than 1.5 earned runs, so it’s a no-brainer to take him to give up fewer than 2.5 earned runs against the Angels. Detroit’s ace had one rocky outing, but he still has a 2.12 ERA because he’s allowed one run or less in four of his five starts. Mize has only walked one batter over his last three starts, so he’s not hurting himself. He also has great career numbers against most members of the Angels, who are a combined 7 for 45 (.156) against him.

The Angels have also lost five in a row and are averaging just 2.3 runs per game over their last eight games. They don’t look like a team that’s going to do much damage against Mize.

Yusei Kikuchi Over 2.5 Walks (+155) at bet365 Sportsbook

Unlike Mize, Kikuchi has played with fire this season by issuing a lot of walks. In just 31.1 innings this season, Kikuchi has given away 18 free passes. He made five starts in April, allowing at least three walks in four of them. For just about any starting pitcher, issuing over 2.5 walks is a big hurdle, but Kikuchi has done it with regularity.

If this wager is still getting plus-odds, it’s worth a chance. It doesn’t hurt that the Tigers rank among the top-10 teams in baseball at drawing walks, averaging 3.7 walks per game. If Kikuchi is going to keep pitching outside of the strike zone, this Detroit lineup is going to take its walks.

Gleyber Torres Over 1.5 Total Bases (+140) at bet365 Sportsbook

Torres is one hitter we hope isn’t looking to take his walks on Thursday. Since he’s 10 for 28 (.357) with three extra-base hits in his career against Kikuchi, it’s a good bet that Torres will be looking to swing the bat and do some damage. The still 28-year-old second baseman is quietly having a solid year, batting .273. He also has two multi-hit games and two extra-base hits over his last four games.

Torres is also batting .318 with a .984 OPS against lefties this season, so this matchup with Kikuchi is favorable for him.

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