Best NRFI Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Braves Offense

With Colorado’s Ryan Feltner excelling at avoiding contact, expect Atlanta’s star studded offense to continue to struggle as they grade out poorly in Contact Rate. Minutes before their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the AL West divisional matchup between the Athletics and Texas Rangers as JP Sears will have the opportunity to get off to a hot start by exploiting the Rangers underwhelming top of their order.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies - Bryce Elder vs. Ryan Feltner (8:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (+120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After struggling to make contact at a league average rate last season, Atlanta’s woes have carried over into this year as the Braves currently rank in the bottom half of the board in Team Total Hits. The top of their order has played a key role in their struggles as only Marcell Ozuna possesses a Batting Average over 0.300. A stunning low level of play for a team who was priced as one of the top contenders for the World Series in the preseason.

Their struggles are poised to persist on Monday night against Colorado’s Ryan Feltner as the Rockies pitcher enters the contest averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and an ERA of 3.86. Even with his back end giving him minimal support with their coverage per their dead last rank in Defensive Efficiency indicates, Feltner is still able to keep opposing runners out of scoring position with his own individual production.

While the Braves offense have struggled, their defense has thrived as their back end ranks 10th in Defensive Efficiency. Their coverage will help Bryce Elder round back into form as the Braves pitcher has struggled with avoiding contact and keeping opposing runners off the bases. Especially with the Rockies offense struggling to play at a competitive level as their lineup ranks in the bottom five in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.

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Athletics vs. Texas Rangers - JP Sears vs. Patrick Corbin (8:05 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (+112) at FanDuel Sportsbook

JP Sears has been one of the Athletics lone sources of consistent production this season as the A’s pitcher is averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched, an ERA of 3.21, and a WHIP of 1.107. Even though his Strikeout Rate is low, Sears ability to avoid contact and limit the number of walks is enough to string together dominant performances and keep the Athletics competitive in their contests.

Against Texas, Sears will have the opportunity to sustain his high level of play as he faces off against a Rangers offense who ranks below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Especially with Joc Pederson and Jake Burger struggling to generate offense at the start of their contest as both players average less than one Hit per game and a Batting Average lower than 0.200 in the top of their order.

On the other side of the field, we back Patrick Corbin as the Rangers newly acquired pitcher gets the benefit of facing off against an offense who struggles to get on base at a league average rate. Their struggles bodes well for Corbin as he has excelled at keeping opposing runners out of scoring position by possessing an ERA of 3.77. Corbin is also surrounded by a productive back end as the Rangers defense ranks 9th overall in Defensive Efficiency.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Edward Cabrera vs. Dustin May - Expect the Los Angeles Dodgers vaunted top of their order to succeed from the opening pitch as Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman face off against Edward Cabrera who averages a WHIP of 1.432 and ERA of 6.14 while all three batters excel at making contact and getting on base at a high rate.

• St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds - Andre Pallante vs. Nick Martinez - Both offenses are in a favorable position to sustain their hot stretch of play as they are set to battle it out against a pair of pitchers who struggle to avoid contact and possess a FIP of 4.00 or higher while both lineups rank top-10 in Team Total Hits.

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