Under 0.5 Runs – SEA vs HOU (-150) at Draftkings
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We go to Minute Maid Park for our only game of the day. The Yankees-Guardians game was postponed to tomorrow due to inclement weather, so this will be the only playoff baseball on today. The Astros squeaked out a Game One win 8-7. For a while, it looked like Houston was not going to come out victorious. Seattle started the scoring early and were leading 4-0 after the second inning. However, the Astros cut the lead to two when Yordan Alvarez doubled to left field and sent two home. The score was 7-3 entering the eighth inning, but the Astros’ offense had a plan. Houston scored two eighth inning runs, and Yordan Alvarez again came in clutch and hit a walk-off three-run home run to secure the victory.
We will have a pitcher’s duel on the mound today. Luis Castillo will take the hill for the Mariners, and Framber Valdez will take the hill for the Astros. Both of these pitchers have ERAs under 3.00, so expect a low-scoring game.
Luis Castillo did not finish the season with an excellent record, but he was a force on the mound. The 6’2” hurler went 8-6 with a 2.99 ERA, 167 strikeouts, and 1.08 WHIP. Castillo was acquired at the Trade Deadline by the Mariners from the Cincinnati Reds and went 4-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 11 starts. Since he was traded to Seattle only a couple of months ago, he never faced the Astros. However, Castillo has already started a Playoff game this year and experienced success. The 29-year-old threw 7⅓ scoreless inning and only gave up six hits while striking out five. Castillo’s Playoff success has given him momentum and is a large reason he will not throw a first inning run.
Framber Valdez would be the ace on almost any team in the MLB. However, he has the ageless Justin Verlander as a teammate, so he will have to settle for #2. Valdez had a strong season last year, but 2022 has been his best year. The Dominican hurler finished with a 17-6 record, 2.82 ERA, 194 strikeouts, and 1.16 WHIP. That is a top-ten pitching stat line and part of the reason Valdez was named to his first All-Star team this year. The southpaw faced Seattle twice this season and performed pretty well. Valdez did not have his usual dominance, but he did make life tough for the Mariners’ hitters. In 13⅔ innings, the 28-year-old gave up six earned runs on 13 hits. Framber Valdez is an elite pitcher and knows how to pitch well enough to the Mariners, so he will not give up a first inning run. Bet on the NRFI.
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NRFI stands for no runs first inning. If you bet on a game to be NRFI, you are betting on neither team scoring in the first inning. If either team scores, you lose your bet. It does not matter who scores. If a team scores in the first inning, it is called YRFI (yes runs first inning). There are a lot of factors that go into making these bets, but the concept is fairly simple.
NRFI bets do not work like moneyline bets. Sometimes the NRFI is negative, and the YRFI is positive, but often, the NRFI and YRFI are both negative.
You can make NRFI or YRFI bets on any main sportsbook, but I recommend using DraftKings. All you have to do is go on the DraftKings Sportsbook, go to the baseball category, go to the innings tab, and go to 1st Inning Total Runs. You can bet from there. If you’re looking for more betting options, check out our best MLB bets for today!
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Max Heering graduated from the University of Kansas Sport Management program in May 2020. Max follows and writes about the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, MLS, college football, and college basketball. In his free time, you can catch Max draining threes on the basketball court. Email: [email protected]More info on Max Heering
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