Best NRFI Bets Today: Continue to Fade the Twins Underwhelming Offense

With Luis Severino set to take the mound, the Minnesota Twins' struggles on offense are poised to persist as the Athletics pitcher excels at avoiding contact. Before their opening pitch, we target the NRFI in the matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox as a pair or productive arms are set to take the mound.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics - Joe Ryan vs. Luis Severino (10:05 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a turbulent year for the Minnesota Twins as they continue to play in high variance contests due to their offense struggling to give them the production they need to be a well rounded AL Central division title contender. Heading into Monday’s contest against the Athletics, the Twins offense ranks below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.

Unfortunately for the Twins, their offense will continue to underwhelm as they are set to battle it out against Luis Severino who excels at avoiding contact. In his 12 starts, Severino is averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and an FIP of 3.39. Even with minimal support from his back end, Severino has still been able to neutralize opposing offenses with his own individual production as his low mark in FIP indicates.

On The other side of the field, the Twins' Joe Ryan has had a successful start to the year as he averages less than four Hits Against per game while generating over one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. His ability to create Whiffs has helped him keep opposing runners off the bases as he also averages a WHIP of 0.825. Factor in his back end ranking above league average in Defensive Efficiency and Ryan has all the tools to cool off the Athletics bats and escape the first inning without conceding a Run.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox - Tyler Anderson vs. Richard Fitts (7:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (+100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though the sample size is small, the Boston Red Sox Richard Fitts has managed to get off to a hot start as he is currently averaging an ERA of 2.70, a WHIP of 1.100, and a FIP of 3.94. His success stems from his ability to avoid contact as Fitts is also averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. 

Against the Los Angeles Angels, Fitts will have the opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against an offense who ranks near the bottom of the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Their inability to make contact drastically reduces their chances of getting into scoring position as the Angels also rank 29th overall in Bases on Walks.

Speaking of hot starts to the year, Tyler Anderson has been one of the Angels' lone sources of production this season as he is currently averaging an ERA of 3.39 and less than five Hits Against per game. While a matchup against the Red Sox offense seems daunting on paper, it is worth noting that their lineup ranks third in Strikeout Rate.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Jack Flaherty vs. Jonathan Cannon - With Jonathan Cannon averaging an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.352, expect his struggles with keeping opposing runners off the bases to continue to persist as he faces off against a Detroit Tigers offense who ranks top-10 in Contact Rate and in Total Runs Scored.

• Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins - German Marquez vs. Max Meyer - Expect the Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins top of their orders to open up the scoring early on in their contest as they face off against a pair of pitchers who average an FIP higher than 4.00 and over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

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