Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade the Los Angeles Dodgers Top of Their Order

Negative regression looms large over the Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers as both offenses are set to face off against a pair of productive arms on the mound. We then turn our attention towards the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels as Jacob deGrom will have a great opportunity to strengthen his case for the AL Cy Young award by facing off against a lineup who struggles with making contact.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Props Today.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. Freddy Peralta (7:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Don’t let Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 8-6 record fool you, the Los Angeles Dodgers star pitcher has been dominant this season as he heads into Monday’s contest against Milwaukee averaging an ERA of 2.51, a WHIP of 1.014, and a FIP of 3.10. His success stems from his ability of creating Whiffs at a high rate as Yamamoto is also averaging over one Strikeout and less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

Against the Brewers, Yamamoto will have a great opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against an offense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Contact Rate. His defense also helps limit the amount of contact variance in his starts with their elite coverage as the Dodgers defense ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, Freddy Peralta draws a much tougher assignment as he is set to face off against a Dodgers offense who leads the league in most offensive metrics. Fortunately for Peralta, the Brewers pitcher possesses more than enough individual production to help bring the Dodgers vaunted offense back down to reality as he averages an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.091.

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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels - Jacob deGrom vs. Yusei Kikuchi (9:38 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-150) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Jacob deGrom has shown signs of his former Cy Young winning self since returning from injury as the Texas Rangers pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 2.13, a WHIP of 0.888, and a FIP of 3.08 in his 17 starts this season. Even though his Strikeout Rate is low, deGrom has been able to put opposing batters in low quality contact scenarios as he is also averaging less than five Hits Against per game.

In a AL West divisional matchup against the Los Angeles Angels, deGrom will be in a favorable position to thrive as he faces off against an offense who ranks 28th overall in Contact Rate and 2nd in Strikeout Rate. Especially when he is surrounded by the best back end in the league as the Rangers defense currently leads the league in Defensive Efficiency.

As for Yusei Kikuchi, the Angels starting pitcher will have an opportunity to match deGrom’s level of production as he faces off against a Rangers offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Expect their struggles with making contact to continue to persist as Kikuchi averages an ERA of 2.81 and less than one Hit per Inning Pitched.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox - Austin Gomber vs. Richard Fitts - Expect the Boston Red Sox to open up the scoring in the first inning of their contest against Colorado as they face off against Austin Gomber who averages nearly two runners on base per Inning Pitched and a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

• Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox - Jose Berrios vs. Sean Burke - Positive regression looms large over the Toronto Blue Jays offense as they are set to battle it out against the Chicago White Sox Sean Burke who averages an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.402, and a FIP of 4.84.

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