With the Philadelphia Phillies struggling to make contact, Bubba Chandler has a great opportunity to round back into form after a slow start to the year. Later in the night, we go back to the well by fading the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees with a former AL Cy Young winner facing off against the betting favorite to win the award this season. This high-profile pitching duel will heavily impact the latest AL Cy Young odds.
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| Best NRFI Bets Today | BetMGM Odds | Kalshi to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Under 0.5 Run | -115 | Pittsburgh Pirates 33% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees - Under 0.5 Run | -145 | Detroit Tigers 45% |
| Odds and market prices are accurate as of the time of publishing and subject to change before the event. | ||
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With Bubba Chandler giving up Hits at a low rate, expect the Philadelphia Phillies to struggle to get on base and be held out of scoring position.
It has been a turbulent start to the year for the Pittsburgh Pirates Bubba Chandler, kicking off his 2026 campaign with an ERA of 4.42, a WHIP of 1.387, and a FIP of 4.62 in 16 appearances. Even though Chandler has struggled to hold opposing offenses off the scoreboard, he still excels at avoiding contact, giving up less than one Hit Against per inning.
Heading into Tuesday night’s contest against the Philadelphia Phillies, expect Chandler to find his footing by exploiting an offense who ranks below league average in Hit Rate, RBIs, Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Even with his back end underwhelming in coverage, Chandler’s low contact rate will neutralize the Phillies at the plate, increasing his chances of keeping a clean sheet.
While their defense has underwhelmed, the Pirates offense have been far more competitive, leading the league in Hit Rate. Unfortunately for the Pirates, negative regression looms large with Cristopher Sanchez on the mound, battling it out against an arm who is averaging a FIP of 2.36 while generating more than one Strikeout per inning.
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Tuesday night’s contest between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees will feature a low amount of scoring opportunities with two Cy Young contenders locked into a pitchers duel.
Nearing the halfway point of the season, Cam Schlittler is projected to win the AL Cy Young award while averaging a league leading ERA of 1.62 and a FIP of 2.21. Schlittler’s success on the mound stems from his power and elite command of the ball, generating more than one Strikeout while giving up less than one Hit Against per inning.
In a favorable matchup against the Detroit Tigers, expect Schlittler to build on his momentum as he faces off against an offense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Hit Rate, On Base Percentage, and in OPS. Especially with his back end narrowing the width of the Tigers gaps in the outfield, surrounding Schlittler with a defense who resides in the top-10 in Defensive Efficiency.
On the other side of the field, Tarik Skubal has been able to quickly shake off the rust since returning from injury, averaging a WHIP of 0.989 while generating Strikeouts at a high rate. With the Yankees also grading out poorly in Contact Rate, the top of their order will struggle to match Skubal’s aggression, making it difficult for them to get on base.
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Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles - Erick Fedde vs. Trey Gibson - Expect Runs to be scored in the first inning with the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles facing off against a pair of arms who are averaging an ERA higher than 4.00 while giving up more than one Hit Against per inning.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics - Justin Wrobleski vs. Jeffrey Springs - The reigning World Series champions will be able to open up the scoring early against the Athletics as the Los Angeles Dodgers battle it out against Jeffrey Springs who is averaging an ERA of 5.52, a WHIP of 1.330, and a FIP of 5.63. With such an exploitable pitching matchup, it is easy to see why Los Angeles continues to dominate the latest World Series odds.
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