AdventHealth 400 Predictions: Can 23XI Racing Keep Its Streak Alive at 1.5-Mile Kansas Speedway?

• Can 23XI Racing keep its streak alive at the 1.5-mile Kansas Speedway?
• After a disaster at Dover, Kyle Larson looks to rebound in the Midwest.
• After the team change, Busch will try to conquer a track that used to baffle him.

AdventHealth 400 Betting Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Our Picks for the AdventHealth 400

Kyle Larson to win the race at +500 

Kyle Busch to finish in the top three at +400

Ty Gibbs to beat Daniel Suarez head-to-head at -110

Can 23XI Racing Keep Its Kansas Speedway Winning Streak Alive?

In last year’s breakout season for 23XI Racing—the organization co-owned by Denny Hamlin and NBA Hall of Famer Michael Jordan—Kurt Busch won the spring race at Kansas, and teammate Bubba Wallace followed with a victory in the fall.

Tyler Reddick has replaced Busch in the No. 45 23XI Toyota this season and already has a win to his credit, on the road course at Circuit of the Americas. Reddick’s performance on ovals, however, has been spotty, contributing to an average finish of 14.5 overall.

For Wallace, the season has been a nightmare so far. His DNFs (did not finish results) outnumber his top fives (one) and top 10s (two), and the average finish of the driver of the No. 23 Toyota sits at 19.5.

Bottom line? We don’t see either Reddick (+750 at DraftKings Sportsbook) or Wallace (+1400) righting their respective ships in time to win at Kansas Speedway.

Hence, steer clear of the 23XI drivers, whose winning streak will end in Sunday’s AdventHealth 400.

After Disaster at Dover, Kyle Larson Looks to Rebound at Kansas

Our pick for last Sunday’s Wurth 400 didn’t last long at the Monster Mile. On Lap 80 of 400, Kyle Larson’s No. 5 Chevrolet was wiped out in a crash, not of his making, and the pre-race favorite limped home with a 32nd-place finish.

Nevertheless, we’re confident in Larson’s ability to rebound. After all, the California driver has posted six top 10s in his last eight Kansas starts, including a victory in the 2021 Playoff race.

That win helped to propel him to the NASCAR Cup Series championship.

As was the case last week, Larson is the heavy favorite to win the AdventHealth 400, offered at +500 via DraftKings Sportsbook.

We concur, and we’re backing Larson on Sunday as he seeks his third victory of the season in the 400-mile race.

Kyle Busch Looks to Conquer a Track That Used to Baffle Him

Early in his career, Kyle Busch considered Kansas Speedway a jinx track—and for good reason.

In his first 14 starts at Kansas, Busch finished in the top 10 only twice and in the top five not at all. But his luck began to turn late in 2014.

Starting with the fall race of that season, Busch posted five straight top fives, a run that included his first win at the track in the spring of 2016.

In his last 16 Kansas starts, Busch has finished on the lead lap all but three times, and he picked up his second victory at the 1.5-mile speedway in 2021.

Consider also that Busch’s fortunes have changed for the better since his move from Joe Gibbs Racing to Richard Childress Racing to start the 2023 season.

We expect Busch to be a contender on Sunday and consider him worth a look at +1400 (DraftKings). We’re also backing him to finish in the top three at +400.

How to Watch the AdventHealth 400

• What: AdventHealth 400 NASCAR Cup Series race
• Where: Kansas Speedway
• When: Sunday, May 7, 3 p.m. ET
• How to Watch: FS1