Advent Health 400 Predictions: Struggle for Superiority on 1.5-Milers

• Defending race winner Kyle Larson looks to repeat dramatic 2024 victory.

• Have Toyotas relinquished their superiority at 1.5-mile Kansas Speedway?

• Joey Logano has been overlooked by oddsmakers this week—for no reason.

Advent Health 400 Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 and claim $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, regardless of the bet outcome.

Our Picks for the Advent Health 400

• Joey Logano to win the race at +2200 via bet365

• Ross Chastain to finish in the top three at +650 via bet365

• Joey Logano to finish in the top three at +700 via bet365

Advent Health 400 Predictions

Kyle Larson Would Love to Duplicate Last Year’s Win at Kansas Speedway

Kyle Larson is the defending winner of the Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway—but not by much.

Last May, Larson crossed the finish line 0.001 seconds ahead of runner-up Chris Buescher, a margin of less than six inches and the closest finish in NASCAR Cup Series history.

True to form, the driver of the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet has shown excellent speed on intermediate speedways this season, winning at Homestead-Miami, finishing ninth at Las Vegas and fourth last Sunday at Texas.

Larson, however, didn’t have the strongest car at Texas. Joey Logano did. Given the expected competitive environment at Kansas, we can’t recommend Larson at a meager +375 via bet365 Sportsbook.

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Toyota Drivers Were Dominant at Kansas Speedway - But Not Last Year

Last season, Chevrolet drivers swept the two races at Kansas Speedway, with Kyle Larson winning in the spring and Ross Chastain taking the checkered flag in the fall Playoff event.

That ended a four-race streak of dominance by four different Toyota drivers—Kurt Busch, Bubba Wallace, Denny Hamlin and Tyler Reddick.

Wallace, however, acknowledges that his 23XI Racing team has lost the edge that carried him to his second and most recent career victory 2022.

“I don’t know where we got off pace there, but we did,” said Wallace, who finished 17th in both Kansas races last year. “But I think we know what we need to do there, so it’s just a matter of getting back on the horse and doing it…

“It’s not like we’re way out in left field from what we had a couple years ago. It’s maybe one thing that’s giving us the wrong feel. It’s crazy. We just have to show up and, like I said, get back on the horse and get out there and ride.”

We think Reddick at +700 via bet 365 is the best bet from the Toyota contingent, but he’s not our choice to win this week’s race.

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Joey Logano is the Best Bargain on the Board, Based on Recent Success

How in the world is Joey Logano priced at +2200 (bet365) for Sunday’s Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway?

Who wasn’t paying attention when the driver of the No. 22 Team Penske Ford and reigning NASCAR Cup champion drove methodically from 27th to win last Sunday’s race at Texas Motor Speedway?

After the Ford contingent showed excellent speed at Texas, it should be a natural conclusion that they’ll also be strong at 1.5-mile Kansas, where Logano has three career victories.

Logano’s record this year is deceptive, with plenty of solid runs spoiled by an inordinate degree of misfortune. Now, however, the 22 team seems to have its act together.

Hence, we’re recommending bets on Logano to win at +2200 via bet365 and to finish in the top three at +700 via bet365.

We also like last fall’s Kansas winner, Ross Chastain, to finish in the top three at +650 (bet365). Chastain comes to Kansas fresh from a runner-up finish last Sunday at Texas.

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How to Watch the Advent Health 400

• What: Advent Health 400 NASCAR Cup Series race

• Where: Kansas Speedway

• When: Sunday, May 11, 3 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: FS1