Ambetter Health 400 Predictions: William Byron Has Huge Momentum

Written by: Reid Spencer
Updated February 23, 2024
3 min read
  • Toyotas definitely need a boost in Atlanta after a lackluster effort in 2023.

  • If you favor Ford drivers, then Joey Logano is your best bet on Sunday.

  • William Byron is the most recent Atlanta winner, and he has major momentum.

Ambetter Health 400 Betting Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Driver Odds
Joey Logano +900
William Byron +1000
Ryan Blaney +1000
Denny Hamlin +1000
Chase Elliott +1100
Kyle Larson +1200
Kyle Busch +1200
Christopher Bell +1400
Brad Keselowski +1400
Ross Chastain +1600
Tyler Reddick +1800

Our Picks for the Ambetter Health 400

  • William Byron to win the race at +1000.

  • Bubba Wallace to beat Chase Elliott head-to-head at +105.

  • Brad Keselowski to finish in the top three at +400.

Ambetter Health 400 Predictions

Ambetter Health 400 Predictions

Toyota Drivers Have Considerable Ground to Make Up at Atlanta

In last year’s Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway, Christopher Bell drove his No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota to a respectable third-place finish.

With Tyler Reddick and Denny Hamlin running fifth and sixth and Ty Gibbs taking ninth, Toyota drivers claimed four of the top 10 positions in that race.

In last year’s summer race, however, the Toyotas fell off the map. The highest finisher for the Japanese car maker was Hamlin in 14th.

The good news for the Toyota contingent is that the first Atlanta race is even earlier on the schedule, which means a colder track and conditions under which the Toyotas fared better last year.

Of the group, we think Bubba Wallace will run well, coming off a fifth-place finish in the Daytona 500, and we expect him to beat Chase Elliott head-to-head at +105 via DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Among Ford Drivers, Joey Logano Is the Most Dependable Pick

With 20 laps left in last Sunday’s Daytona 500, Joey Logano looked like a probable winner—until Alex Bowman bumped Hendrick Motorsports teammate William Byron into Brad Keselowski on Lap 187 and ignited a 23-car wreck that knocked Logano out of the race.

The inevitable Daytona “Big One,” however, doesn’t diminish Logano’s prowess as a superspeedway racer. No one is better at controlling the action at the front of the field.

Accordingly, if you’re a Ford fan, Logano should be your choice on Sunday as the pre-race favorite at +900 via DraftKings. After all, he won this race from the pole last year.

We also like last year’s Ambetter Health 400 runner-up Brad Keselowski to finish in the top three at +400 at DraftKings.

Daytona 500 Champion William Is Riding a Wave of Momentum

Unlike Joey Logano, William Byron survived the massive late-race wreck at Daytona and went on to win the Great America Race, breaking a 10-year drought for Hendrick Motorsports.

Byron won six races last year, most in the NASCAR Cup Series, and qualified for the Championship 4 race at Phoenix before finishing third in the final standings.

The driver of the No. 24 Chevrolet has proven adept at superspeedway racing, with previous victories in the summer race at Daytona and wins in two of the last four events at Atlanta, including the most recent race last summer.

That’s why we’re picking Byron to go back-to-back in the first two Cup races of the season. We expect 2024 to be a continuation of his breakout 2023 season. Given his record, Byron is priced reasonably at +1000 via DraftKings.

How to Watch the Daytona 500

  •  What: Ambetter Health 400 NASCAR Cup Series Race

  • Where: Atlanta Motor Speedway

  • When: Sunday, February 25, 3 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: FOX

Image for Reid Spencer

Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Drama
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
48 years
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