Denny Hamlin needs a solid result to keep his championship hopes alive.
Kyle Busch is a Bristol phenom, but RCR’s short-track package is lacking.
Kyle Larson could use a stellar run to regain Cup Series Playoff momentum.
The following odds are taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 at bet365 to claim your bonus of choice: $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $200 in Bonus Bets.
Driver | Odds |
---|---|
Denny Hamlin | +350 BET HERE |
Kyle Larson | +600 BET HERE |
Christopher Bell | +600 BET HERE |
Ty Gibbs | +700 BET HERE |
Brad Keselowski | +1000 BET HERE |
Chris Buescher | +1600 BET HERE |
Martin Truex Jr. | +1600 BET HERE |
William Byron | +1600 BET HERE |
Chase Elliott | +1800 BET HERE |
Ryan Blaney | +1800 BET HERE |
Joey Logano | +1800 BET HERE |
Kyle Larson to win the race at +600 via bet365
Brad Keselowski to finish in the top three at +325 via bet365
Chris Buescher to finish in the top five at +275 via bet365
William Byron to beat Ryan Blaney head-to-head at -115 via bet365
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We’re not surprised Denny Hamlin is the odds-on favorite to win Saturday’s Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway.
After all, Hamlin has won the last two races at the 0.533-mile high-banked concrete track, and he’s a master at saving tires—an attribute that will come into play in this Round of 12 NASCAR Cup Series elimination race.
In offering Hamlin at +350 (bet365), however, oddsmakers aren’t taking into account the cloud of ill fortune that has followed him in the first two Playoff races. At Atlanta, a late wreck hurt his points position. At Watkins Glen, the wreck came on Lap 1.
As a consequence, Hamlin comes to Bristol six points below the current cut line and in danger of elimination when the Playoff field is trimmed from 16 drivers to 12 on Saturday.
We expect Hamlin to have a decent day. We expect him to avoid elimination. But we don’t expect him to win, given the recent setbacks he has suffered.
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Oh, how tempting Kyle Busch is at a price of +2200 via bet365.
Busch is the leading active Cup winner at Bristol Motor Speedway—by a lot. Busch has eight victories in 35 starts at Thunder Valley.
In 2010, the driver of the No. 8 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet completed an unprecedented sweep of all three national series races at Bristol on the same weekend. In 2017, he repeated the feat at the same track.
But since NASCAR introduced its Gen 7 race car in 2022, Busch has finished 34th, 20th and 25th at Bristol. RCR simply hasn’t solved NASCAR’s short-track competition package, and we don’t expect that to change on Saturday.
Even at +2200, Busch isn’t a good bet—sadly.
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Kyle Larson entered the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs as the top seed, but disaster struck early in the postseason opener at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
On Lap 56, Larson lost control in Turn 2, overcorrected and rocketed into the outside wall, ending his day. A week later at Watkins Glen, he finished a mundane 12th.
Bristol, however, is the perfect place for Larson to regain the momentum he brought to the Playoffs. He has one pole and one victory in 16 starts at the track, with the win coming in the 2021 Night Race.
In his last five races at Bristol, Larson has finished first, second, fifth (twice) and sixth. We like him to add a second win to his resume on Saturday at +600 via bet365.
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What: Bass Pro Shops Night Race (NASCAR Cup Series)
Where: Bristol Motor Speedway
When: Saturday, September 21, 7:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch: USA
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