Dead on Tools 250 Predictions, Picks, Odds (Xfinity Series)

  • Harrison Burton needs a repeat of last season’s Playoff race win at Martinsville.
  • Based on Cup history, AJ Allmendinger should be a contender this weekend.
  • Daniel Hemric looks like a good bet to retain the last Championship 4 spot.

Dead on Tools 250 Odds

Winner Odds
Austin Cindric +400
Ty Gibbs +450
Noah Gragson +600
Justin Allgaier +700
Harrison Burton +800
A.J. Allmendinger +800
Daniel Hemric +900
Josh Berry +1200
Justin Haley +1400
Brandon Jones +1500
Sam Mayer +2000
Michael Annett +3000

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Dead on Tools 250

The NASCAR Xfinity Series doesn’t have much recent history at Martinsville Speedway. Since 1994, NASCAR’s Triple-A division has competed there only three times—a one-off in 2006; a Playoff event last year, and a race this past spring.

Harrison Burton won last year’s race, and Josh Berry, who is not eligible for the Playoff this season because of his partial schedule, triumphed in April.

Saturday’s Dead on Tools 250, which will trim the Playoff field from eight drivers to four, will be contested over 250 laps (131.5 miles), with stage breaks scheduled after 60 and 120 laps.

Harrison Burton Desperately Needs a Repeat Performance at Martinsville

Last season, after being eliminated from the NASCAR Xfinity Series Playoff, Harrison Burton came to life, winning back-to-back races at Texas and Martinsville.

This year, he comes to Martinsville still a part of the Playoff picture but needs a victory to advance to the Championship 4.

The driver of the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota is last among the eight remaining Playoff drivers, an almost insurmountable 51 points behind fourth-place Daniel Hemric, his teammate.

A win, on the other hand, means automatic advancement to the final four. Can Burton pull off another victory in a Playoff race—this time under the duress of Playoff pressure?

Given that he and Josh Berry are the only two previous Martinsville winners in the race, we like Burton’s chances at +800 via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Based on His NASCAR Cup Record, AJ Allmendinger Should Be a Contender

In two NASCAR Xfinity Series starts at Martinsville Speedway, AJ Allmendinger has yet to score a top 10, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t have a knack for .526-mile paper-clip-shaped speedway.

The driver of the No. 16 Kaulig Racing Chevrolet—currently tied for the series lead with Austin Cindric and all but a shoo-in to reach the Championship 4—has a far more consequential record at Martinsville in the NASCAR Cup Series.

In 21 Cup starts, Allmendinger has two top fives—both runner-up finishes—and seven top 10s at the venerable short track.

It’s one of may favorite tracks, says Allmendinger. We’re in a good position heading into this weekend, but we still have to go out and execute in order to make the final four.

We think Allmendinger will execute to perfection on Saturday and win the race. He’s available at +800 through DraftKings Sportsbook.

Daniel Hemric May Not Win, But He Should Advance to Championship 4

We thought Daniel Hemric was going to pull off a breakthrough victory last Saturday at Kansas Speedway. We were wrong.

Hemric started from the pole, led 15 laps, and finished second and third, respectively, in the first and second stages of the race.

But the driver of the No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota sustained damage to his car in a Lap 97 wreck involving Noah Gragson and Myatt Snider. Hemric fell to 15th at the finish but held fourth place in the standings, seven points ahead of Justin Haley in fifth.

In his only Xfinity start at the track this past April, Hemric came home third. Though we don’t think he’ll score a victory on Saturday, he’s a likely candidate for a top three and a good bet to do so at +210 (DraftKings).

That should be enough to get him to the final four—unless Harrison Burton steals a win and takes the last Playoff spot.

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How to Watch Dead on Tools 250

Dead on Tools 250 Information
Race Dead on Tools 250 NASCAR Xfinity Series race
Location Martinsville Speedway
Time Saturday, October 30, 6 p.m. ET
How to Watch NBCSN

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Reid Spencer

Expert on NASCAR

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]