Go Bowling at The Glen Predictions, Picks & Odds (Cup Series)
- Can anyone upset Chase Elliott at Watkins Glen? Oddsmakers don’t think so.
- Martin Truex Jr. looks for a return to form at the 2.45-mile road course.
- Team Penske drivers start 1-2-3. Can any of them hold on to win on Sunday?
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This will be the 38th Cup event at the 2.45-mile road course, and it’s the first of four races left to decide the field for the 16-driver postseason Playoff.
Sunday’s race will be contested over 90 laps (220.5 miles), with stage breaks scheduled after 20 and 40 laps. Chase Elliott has won the last two Cup events at the track.
How to Watch Go Bowling at The Glen
|Go Bowling Information|
|Race||Go Bowling at The Glen NASCAR Cup Series race|
|Location||Watkins Glen International|
|Time||Sunday, August 8, 3 p.m. ET|
|How to Watch||NBCSN|
Is Chase Elliott Destined to Win Three Straight Cup Races at the Glen?
If you listen to oddsmakers and most pundits, it’s a foregone conclusion that Chase Elliott will take the checkered flag in Sunday’s Go Bowling at the Glen.
The statistics are compelling. Elliott won his first NASCAR Cup Series race at the 2.45-mile road course in 2018. He repeated in 2019. And given that there was no race at the Glen last year, he’s the two-time defending winner.
Including his maiden win in 2018, the defending Cup Series champion has posted seven of his 13 career victories on road courses, establishing him as the unquestioned dominant force on those tracks.
Elliott has won twice this season—both times on road courses. In a heavy rain, he took the inaugural event at Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. He also triumphed at Road America in the Cup Series’ first visit there since 1956.
In good conditions and bad, Elliott has the road course mojo. The only thing that gives us pause is his starting position—11th. Fourteen of the last 16 winners at the Glen have come from grid spots in the top 10.
Elliott’s acumen will overcome the starting position. He’s the odds-on favorite at +195 according to PointsBet Sportsbook, and we defy you to bet against him.
Martin Truex Jr. Looks for a Return to Form in the Go Bowling at The Glen
Before Chase Elliott arrived and stole his thunder, Martin Truex Jr. was compiling a formidable road course record of his own.
Truex won three times at Sonoma Raceway and once at Watkins Glen (2017). But the driver of the No. 19 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota has finished second to Elliott in the last two races at Watkins Glen.
Truex has three victories this season, all of which came in the first 12 races and none of which came on road courses. Of late, he’s been in the doldrums, posting just one top five and two top 10s in his last six starts.
But Watkins Glen may be the perfect cure for what ails him. If you’re looking for an alternative to Elliott, Truex is your best bet at +675. Avoid second choice Kyle Larson (+480), who is generally good at road courses but lackluster at Watkins Glen.
Team Penske Starts 1-2-3 on Sunday. Can the Ford Drivers Stay There?
There’s no qualifying at Watkins Glen this year. That means the field is set according to a formula that includes finishing position in the previous race, fastest lap in the previous race and position in the owner points standings.
Of the three, only Logano has a victory at Watkins Glen (2015). But Keselowski has four top-five finishes in 10 starts at the track, including three consecutive runner-up results from 2011-2013. Blaney’s best finish was a fifth in 2019.
Sure, Keselowski already has announced he is leaving Team Penske at the end of the season for an owner/driver role at Roush Fenway Racing. But he’s a steal at +3300 to win (via PointsBet Sportsbook) and an even better bet to finish in the top three.
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Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]