Quaker State 400 (Cup Series) Predictions, Picks & Odds

Quaker State 400 Predictions

  • Kyle Larson looks for redemption—not to mention another win in his banner season.
  • Fresh from his second road course win of the season, Chase Elliott starts from the pole.
  • Kevin Harvick will have one last chance to run the bottom lane he loves.

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On Sunday, the NASCAR Cup Series returns to Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Quaker State 400. This marks the first time since 2010 that the 1.54-mile track has hosted two Cup races in the same season.

After the race, AMS will start a major track renovation project that will see the banking in the corners steepened from 24 to 28 degrees and the racing surface repaved for the first time since 1997.

The Quaker State 400 will be contested over 260 laps (400.4 miles), with stage breaks scheduled after 80 and 160 laps. Ryan Blaney won the March 21 race at Atlanta.

How to Watch Quaker State 400

Quaker State 400 Information
Race Quaker State 400 NASCAR Cup Series race
Location Atlanta Motor Speedway
Time Sunday, July 11, 3:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch NBCSN

Kyle Larson Looks for Redemption at Atlanta—and Another Win, Of Course

On March 21, Kyle Larson led 269 of 325 laps at Atlanta Motor Speedway and swept the first two stages. Only one problem: he didn’t win the race.

Ryan Blaney passed Larson on Lap 317 and pulled away to win by two seconds. Larson will be looking for revenge in Sunday’s Quaker State 400 at the 1.54-mile track.

There’s a good chance he’ll get it. In his last nine NASCAR Cup Series starts, Larson has won three times and finished second four times. Atlanta gives him the opportunity to run the top of the track near the wall, where he’s deadly.

So even though he’s available at a skinny +200 via DraftKings Sportsbook, we think Larson is a good bet to win. He’s that good—and Atlanta owes him one.

Chase Elliott Hopes to Hear the Siren Blare in His Home Town

Coming off his second road course victory of the season—this time in the inaugural NASCAR Cup Series race at Road America—Chase Elliott would like nothing better than to notch another victory in his home state of Georgia.

Whenever Elliott wins, the siren at the pool hall in his hometown of Dawsonville blares news of the serendipitous result. And Elliott could well bring the siren to life on Sunday.

Recently overshadowed by his Hendrick Motorsports teammate, Kyle Larson, Elliott after all is the reigning series champion. And NASCAR’s metric qualifying system has him starting on the pole at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

Elliott has one top five and four top 10s in six starts at Atlanta, and at +1000, he’s far more attractively priced than Larson. So if you’re looking for value, Elliott is your man.

Kevin Harvick Has One Last Chance to Run the Bottom at Atlanta

Kevin Harvick has been so dominant at running the bottom lane at Atlanta that the practice of hugging the yellow line has been named for him, as in “Harvicking.”

But with its announced reconfiguration of the race track comes bad news for the driver of the No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford. The racing surface will be narrowed from 55 to 40 feet, eliminating the bottom lane.

Harvick, who has three Atlanta victories (tied for most among active drivers with Kurt Busch), will have one more chance to ride the inside line to victory before the new construction begins, and Atlanta gives him the best chance to score a victory before the regular season ends.

Accordingly, we like Harvick to finish in the top five on Sunday, as he has done in two of the last four Cup races. At +120, you’re getting better than even money for a Harvick top five at one of his best tracks.

Go for it.

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Reid Spencer

Expert on NASCAR

Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]