Wurth 400 Predictions: Kyle Busch’s Team Finally Gets It Together?

• Hendrick Motorsports’ Kyle Larson has another chance for a weekend double.

• Kyle Busch has shown flashes of speed this year; execution is another matter.

• It’s about time for Denny Hamlin to pick up another win in the Lone Star State.

Wurth 400 Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 Sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 and claim $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, regardless of the bet outcome.

My Picks for the Wurth 400

• Denny Hamlin to win the race at +900 via bet365

• Kyle Busch to finish in the top three at +700 via bet365

Wurth 400 Predictions

Kyle Larson Hopes to Build on Hendrick’s Recent Success at Texas

In recent years, duplicate winners at Texas Motor Speedway have been non-existent. The last nine NASCAR Cup races at the track have been won by nine different drivers.

That doesn’t mean there haven’t been trends. Most notably, Hendrick Motorsports drivers have won three of the last four events at the track.

During that span, Kyle Larson, William Byron and Chase Elliott have each won once. Larson has led laps in each of the last four events, including a whopping 256 of 334 during his victory in 2021.

Larson will also have seat time at the track, given that he’s subbing for injured Connor Zilisch in Saturday’s Xfinity Series race.

Though Byron (+400 via bet365 Sportsbook) and Larson (+475) are the top two choices for Sunday’s Wurth 400, we think Hendrick’s reign is coming to an end this weekend.

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Is This the Race Where Kyle Busch’s Team Finally Gets It Together?

Kyle Busch has four wins at Texas Motor Speedway, most among active drivers.

Busch has shown decent speed this season, having qualified in the top 10 in five of 10 races. His average starting spot for the season is 11.3.

The problem has been finishing races. Busch hasn’t scored a top 10 since his eighth-place finish in the fourth race of the season at Phoenix, and his average finish stands at 17.6.

At some point, Busch and his Richard Childress Racing will execute a complete race. We think that just might be on Sunday at a track where he has enjoyed success.

Though we don’t expect Busch to end his 67-race winless streak on Sunday, we’ll take a shot on a top-three finish at +700 via bet365.

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Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin Is Due for a Victory at Texas

With three victories at Texas Motor Speedway, Denny Hamlin is the only active driver other than Kyle Busch with multiple wins at the track.

Hamlin came tantalizingly close to victory last year, when his promising run was spoiled by a late caution that allowed Chase Elliott to overtake him for the win.

Hamlin leads all drivers in laps run in the top five and top 10 at Texas since NASCAR introduced the Gen 7 race car into the Cup Series in 2022.

That indicates that Hamlin is likely to be at or near the front of the field on Sunday. We like him to take the checkered flag at a generous +900 via bet365.

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How to Watch the Wurth 400

• What: Wurth 400 NASCAR Cup Series race

• Where: Texas Motor Speedway

• When: Sunday, May 4, 3:30 p.m. ET

• How to Watch: FS1