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Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Noah Gragson to win the race at +170
Noah Gragson to win the Xfinity Championship at +150
Brandon Jones to beat Sam Mayer head-to-head at -105
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There’s ample justification for DraftKings Sportsbook establishing Noah Gragson as the prohibitive favorite to win Saturday’s Xfinity Series race at Phoenix—not to mention the championship that goes with a victory.
Gragson has won a series-best eight of the 32 Xfinity races this season. That includes a victory at Phoenix in March.
So when DraftKings posts Gragson as a +170 favorite, we can’t disagree. Accordingly, he’s our pick to win Saturday’s race.
For the faint of heart—or for those who don’t like the short odds against 35 other competitors—you can bet on Gragson to win the championship at +150 via DraftKings.
In that case, he’ll only have to beat three other drivers—JR Motorsports teammates Justin Allgaier and Josh Berry and Joe Gibbs Racing’s Ty Gibbs.
On Thursday’s Championship 4 Media Day in Phoenix, Ty Gibbs spent most of the morning trying to rehabilitate his image.
Last Saturday at Martinsville Speedway, Gibbs wrecked Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Brandon Jones on the final lap and knocked his fellow Toyota driver out of the Xfinity Series Playoffs.
In the immediate aftermath, Gibbs showed no contrition, but by the time Media Day arrived, he was saying all the right things.
The problem is that Gibbs’ full concentration likely isn’t on the task at hand. In addition, he’s competing for the title against three drivers from JR Motorsports, who have strength in numbers on their side.
That’s why we’re avoiding bets on Gibbs this weekend, whether to win the race at +300 or to win the title at +260 (both via DraftKings Sportsbook) We advise you to do the same.
If you’re inclined to bet long shots, we recommend action on AJ Allmendinger.
The Xfinity Series regular-season champion didn’t survive the Round of 8 in the Playoffs, but he comes to Phoenix devoid of championship pressure.
Allmendinger has never won a race at Phoenix, but he has posted one top five and two top 10s in five Xfinity starts there. He has never finished worse than 14th at the one-mile track.
At +2000 to win via DraftKings, Allmendinger is an attractive proposition, if you’re inclined to take a flyer.
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Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]
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