Updated January 11, 2023
4 min read
Both the Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks enter this game off the back of a win in their last game. This will be the last time these two teams meet this season, having already met three times. The Atlanta Hawks are leading the season series against the Milwaukee Bucks so far, 2-1.
The Milwaukee Bucks are currently third in the Eastern Conference, with a 26-14 overall record and a 10-9 road record. The Atlanta Hawks are now ninth in the Eastern Conference with a 19-21 record and an 11-8 home record. Both teams enter this game having lost six of their last 10 games.
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| Milwaukee Bucks | Head-to-Head | Atlanta Hawks |
| Mike Budenholzer | Head Coach | Nate McMillan |
| 25-14 (3rd in East) | Standing | 19-21 (9th in East) |
| W-L-W-W | Form | W-L-W-L |
| 111.7 (23rd of 30) | Off Rtg | 112.5 (21st of 30) |
| 110.5 (3rd of 30) | Def Rtg | 113.7 (15th of 30) |
| 99.5 (15th of 30) | Pace | 101.1 (8th of 30) |
Leaders (Per Game) | ||
| G. Antetokounmpo (31.7) | PPG | T. Young (27.5) |
| G. Antetokounmpo (11.8) | RPG | C. Capela (11.9) |
| J. Holiday (7.1) | APG | T. Young (9.8) |
| J. Holiday (1.4) | SPG | D. Murray (1.7) |
| B. Lopez (2.6) | BPG | J. Collins (1.4) |
| G. Antetokounmpo (.527)/G. Antetokounmpo (11.1) | FG%/FGM | C. Capela (.636)/T. Young (8.8) |
| G. Allen (.387)/J. Holiday (2.3) | 3P%/3PM | F. Kaminsky (.444)/B. Bogdanovic (3.1) |
| Player | Team | Date | Status | Info |
| Khris Middleton | Milwaukee Bucks | 08 Jan 2023 | Out (Knee) | Middleton has been out since Dec. 15 and there is no timetable for his return. |
| Serge Ibaka | Milwaukee Bucks | 09 Jan 2023 | Day to Day (Personal) | Ibaka was OUT for Milwaukee's Monday (Jan. 9) game. |
| Clint Capela | Atlanta Hawks | 06 Jan 2023 | Out (Calf) | Capela was OUT for Atlanta's Friday (Jan. 6) game. |
The Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks have put together an impressive series so far this regular season. They'll meet once more with the Hawks currently having the edge over the Bucks, 2-1. We're taking the Milwaukee Bucks at -2.0 (-110) in the final meeting between these teams.
The Atlanta Hawks have dropped three of their last five games, mostly due to their unimpressive defense. The Hawks have allowed their opponents to score 125.6 points per game on 47.7% from he field and 35.9% from three-point range. The Milwaukee Bucks, on the other hand, are stalwart in their defensive approach. Through their last five games the Bucks have allowed their opponents to shoot just 43.4% from the field and 29.1% from three-point range.
The Milwaukee Bucks should level the season series due to the consistency of their defense. The Hawks' offensive potential is good, but their efficiency is lacking. With Capela questionable for this game, the Bucks are likely to dominate in the paint.
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At Caesars Sportsbook, the Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks are a -110 to fall short of a 232.0 combined score when they face off. Both teams have the average potential to clear 232.0, but with their game plans going head-to-head it's much less likely. Given the Hawks' offensive inefficiency and the Bucks' defence, expect the Bucks and Hawks to fall short of 232.0.
On the season, the Milwaukee Bucks are averaging a combined points total of 223.5 points on a plus-1.3 point differential. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging a combined points total of 231.7 on a minus-1.1 points differential. Over their last five games, the Bucks have cleared 232.0 just twice while the Hawks have cleared 232.0 in four of their last five.
Taking into account the Bucks' defence, which is allowing teams to shoot just 43.4% from the field and 29.1% from three over their last five games, it's difficult to expect a high-scoring affair. Also, given the Hawks are shooting just 30.6% from three in their last five games, Atlanta doesn't project to make up the difference against Milwaukee's defence. We're comfortable with the under.
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Christian Jope
NBA Betting Analyst
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