Georgia won 11 of the last 12 meetings
Carson Beck threw six INTs in two games against ranked SEC teams
Ole Miss needs to win to stay alive for the CFP
The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs will head west for a date with an NCAAF SEC rival, the No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels, on Saturday afternoon.
The Bulldogs regained their championship form with a dominant 30-15 win over then-No. 1 Texas a few weeks ago but struggled to get past unranked Florida. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is still alive for the College Football Playoff but will effectively be out of contention with a loss on Saturday.
Here, we will preview and share our best betting picks for the Georgia vs. Ole Miss matchup.
Odds for the Georgia vs Ole Miss Saturday's matchup are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Place your bets on this matchup and claim $150 in bonus bets at FanDuel.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
No. 3 Georgia | -2.5 (-110) | -132 | Over 54.5 (-114) |
No. 16 Ole Miss | +2.5 (-110) | +110 | Under 54.5 (-106) |
Ole Miss lost 11 of its last 12 meetings with Georgia, though the two schools only faced each other one time since 2016. That game happened on November 11 last year and ended with UGA walking away with a dominant 52-17 win at home.
The best of Georgia was on display against Texas. They annihilated the top team in the country on the defensive line, holding the Longhorns to 29 rushing yards on 27 attempts and registering seven sacks. They also held the combination of Quinn Ewers and Arch Manning to 28/49 passing for 230 yards (4.7 yards per attempt), two touchdowns, and an interception.
The problem with that is that version of the defense has not shown up to every game. UGA also has a real reason to be concerned about its sputtering offense with less than a month until the conclusion of the regular season.
Senior QB Carson Beck is forcing throws into non-existent windows and paid the price, recording 10 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in his last five games (three TDs and six INTs against ranked SEC opponents). Lead back Trevor Etienne also had not run for 90 yards in a single game, and the receivers are part of one of the weakest position groups on the team.
Meanwhile, Ole Miss can only blame itself for its current predicament. It lost 20-17 at home to unranked Kentucky and gave up game-tying and game-winning drives at the end of the fourth quarter and overtime against LSU.
QB Jaxson Dart has been awesome, throwing for 3,210 yards and registering 24 total touchdowns and just three interceptions. That’s despite playing behind a fairly average offensive line, which ranks 69th in sack percentage allowed.
The Rebels’ defense is solid and allowed 14.9 points per game, which is even lower than the 19.3 given up by Georgia. However, they gave up 31 points to Arkansas last week and 19.4 per game against SEC opponents.
The biggest question here is if Ole Miss can become opportunistic in the secondary and if their defense, which allows the fewest yards per carry (2.4) in the country, can force Georgia into having a reckless Beck throw the ball more than he wants to.
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Georgia is a better team and has a higher championship floor and ceiling, but this is a bad matchup for them. Ole Miss is desperate at home and can force them out of the running game, which is a recipe for failure given Beck’s recent turnover struggles.
Dart is going to need to be at his best as his starting running back is out with an injury, but he just went for 562 total yards and six touchdowns last week. We’d be prepared for this to be a close game the entire way and for Ole Miss to have a serious chance at upsetting the Dawgs.
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When: Saturday, Nov. 9 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Watch: ABC/ESPN+
Nearly all of the top online sportsbooks have Georgia favored by 2.5 points.
UGA bettors will find the best deal at bet365 Sportsbook and FanDuel where they are -2.5 (-110) favorites, while Ole Miss bettors will want to check out Caesars Sportsbook, where they are +3 (-115) underdogs.
Anyone who bets on Georgia vs. Ole Miss at FanDuel Sportsbook can win $150 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager.
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bet365 | $1,000 Safety Net Bet OR $150 in Bonus Bets | WSN365 | Yes |
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FanDuel | Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins | N/A | Yes |
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Trevor Etienne (RB) - Questionable
Smael Mondon Jr. (LB) - Questionable
Branson Robinson (RB) - Questionable (leg)
Colbie Young (WR) - Out (suspension)
Henry Parrish Jr. (RB) - Out (leg)
Tre Harris (WR) - Questionable
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