No. 11 Kentucky Wildcats vs No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
  • When Georgia has the ball — Who is going to be the signal caller?
  • When Kentucky has the ball — Is it even possible to score against Georgia?
  • X-factors to watch

Kentucky vs Georgia Odds

Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Team Spread Money Line Total
Kentucky Wildcats +21.5 (-110)
O 44.5 (-110)
Georgia Bulldogs -21.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)

Kentucky Wildcats Vs Georgia Bulldogs

Kentucky Wildcats vs Georgia Bulldogs Pick

Kentucky has been making people money. They’re 5-1 this season against the spread.

That’s fantastic and you love to have a team you can rely on.

The problem is, so is Georgia. Not to mention Georgia has gone over it’s total in its last six home games while Kentucky has gone under the total in its last seven as road underdogs.

So while you might feel torn, at the end of the day, nobody has moved the ball against Georgia and Kentucky turns it over too much.

We like Georgia and the under. U 44.5 (-110)

Garcia’s 2021 record: (12-8)

  • Wildcats are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games
  • Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
  • Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October
  • Wildcats are 19-6-1 ATS in last 26 vs. teams with a winning record
  • Wildcats are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog
  • Under is 6-1 in Wildcats last 7 games as a road underdog
  • Under is 11-2 in Wildcats last 13 games in October
  • Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 road games
  • Georgia is 6-2 ATS vs. Kentucky in last eight head-to-head meetings
  • Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite
  • Bulldogs are 12-5 ATS in last 17 home games vs. team with a winning road record
  • Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 home games
  • Over is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 conference games

Kentucky vs Georgia Predictions

Quarterback still an unknown for Georgia

At some point we will know who is starting at quarterback for Georgia, but as of right now, Tuesday evening, it remains a mystery.

JT Daniels, the USC transfer who won the job out of camp, has been banged up with injuries off and on all season. He missed time after a season-opening win against Clemson when he hurt his oblique and then sat out last week against Arkansas with a lat injury.

His status for this contest against Kentucky is certainly in question which is why we turn our attention to Stetson Bennett III.

At this point, Bennett has played more than Daniels and frankly been equally as efficient if not more so. Bennett has connected on 69.4 percent of his passes (43-of-62) for 746 yards, eight touchdowns, and just two interceptions.

In a road win against Auburn last week he never looked phased, going 14-of-21 for 231 passing yards, 41 yards on the ground, two scores, and no turnovers.

That’s one reason why coach Kirby Smart is saying he’s not worried about who is starting right now, he just wants two healthy quarterbacks and believes the rest will work itself out.

That said, this Mark Stoops Kentucky defense is legit and might be the best Georgia has seen to date. Kentucky ranks second in the SEC (yes, ahead of Alabama) and 15th in the nation in yards per play allowed and is third in the SEC and 18th nationally in total defense.

At the end of the day, the most important number is points allowed — Kentucky is giving up 17.5 per contest, which is fourth in the SEC and 19th in the nation.

When Kentucky has the ball — good luck

The whole problem with the statistics listed above if you’re a Kentucky fan, is the team that leads the nation in each one of those defensive metrics, is Georgia.

Absolutely nobody has had any success against this Bulldogs unit and they’re putting up numbers like you would see in a video game, or when a local high school team goes up against the best private school in the state.

Georgia has given up 33 points. Total. All year. In six games. If you struggle with math, that’s an average of 5.5 points per game

Mind you they’ve already played teams like Clemson, Arkansas, and Auburn and still haven’t given up more than 10 points in a single game.

That said, Kentucky’s offense was rolling last week behind Will Levis, the Penn State transfer who has been solid for the most part for the Wildcats this year except in one area. Turnovers.

Levis has thrown six interceptions this season (though none last week) which will destroy whatever chance Kentucky has if that happens this week. Ball protection is job No. 1 for Levis. After that, it’s about trying to get the ball to the outside to his top option, Wan’Dale Robinson.

Robinson has 37 catches for 532 yards and four scores, all of which are double the next closest receiver, Josh Ali, for the Cats.

X-factors to watch

The X-factor in this game on both sides is going to be the rushing attack. Which side can actually create enough room through the ground attack to open up the pass.

For Kentucky, Chris Rodriguez has been a stud. The 5-11 junior is going back to his home state and he runs like a man on a mission. Last week he needed just 16 carries to go 147 yards and find the back of the end zone.

But he can’t do it alone — let’s see if Kentucky’s offensive line can give him a chance.

On the flip side, Georgia uses more of a stable of running backs, but Zahir White is the primary option. Hampered by ACL injuries no longer (he’s had two of them), White has 71 carries for 354 yards and six scores and he’s only getting more work as the season goes on.

Last week he had a season-high 18 carries for 79 yards and two scores.

How to Watch Kentucky vs Georgia

Event Information
Teams No. 11 Kentucky Wildcats at No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs
Location Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Time Saturday, Oct. 16, 3:30 p.m. EST
How to watch CBS
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Tony Garcia

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Tony writes about baseball for after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: ClutchBet Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
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