Oregon vs. Michigan Picks, Predictions and Odds: Expect a Lack of Scoring From Michigan’s One Dimensional Offense

• The Oregon Ducks are number one overall in the AP top-25 poll

• Oregon is currently the betting favorite to win the Big Ten Conference Championship

• Michigan’s pass attack ranks 67th or worse in Pass Success Rate, PPA, and Explosiveness

After thwarting the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Oregon Ducks are the current betting favorites to win the Big Ten Conference Championship and are in full control of their own destiny to make it to the finale. As for the reigning National Champions, Michigan can ill-afford to lose another contest as their playoff hopes hinge on securing one of the wildcard berths. Unfortunately for the Wolverines, their one dimensional offense is projected to struggle with moving the ball down the field against a stout Ducks defense.

Oregon vs. Michigan Odds

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Oregon vs. Michigan My Pick

• My Pick: Michigan Team Total Under 14.5 (-120) at FanDuel

With a lack of consistent quarterback play, generating offensive production has been a struggle for the Wolverines offense as opposing defenses get the benefit of stacking the box at a consistent rate. That plays right into the Ducks hands as they can mask their league average mark in Def Rush Success Rate by shifting the second level of their defense to the middle of the field. That will lead to quick outs and stalled out drives, shading value towards the Wolverines team total under at the key number of 14.5.

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Oregon vs. Michigan Predictions

Oregon Preview

After two straight underwhelming performances to start their year, the Oregon Ducks have seemingly rounded into form and look like a viable contender for the National Championship. They strengthened their claim for the title with a massive win over the Ohio State Buckeyes, simultaneously taking over the top spot on the oddsboard for the Big Ten Conference Championship. With a tiebreaker over the Buckeyes, the Ducks are in a great spot to make it to the finale with a favorable schedule to end their year.

While an away game across the country against Michigan seems daunting on paper, the Ducks should have no issue with neutralizing their one dimensional offense to help secure the win over the Wolverines. Especially with Michigan’s pass attack continuing to struggle with generating any sort of pass production as the Wolverines enter the contest ranked 93rd in Pass Success Rate, 106th in Pass PPA, and 67th in Pass Explosiveness.

Worse yet for the Wolverines, their ground game is unable to exploit the Ducks weakness with limiting the big gain as Oregon’s defense ranks 131st in Def Rush Explosiveness while Michigan’s offense ranks 121st. With the Ducks defense getting the benefit of stacking the box to limit Michigan’s Rush Success Rate when in the middle of the field, the Wolverines offense will be hard pressed to stay ahead of the sticks and get into scoring territory.

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Michigan Preview

With Jack Tuttle retiring due to injury and Davis Warren fresh off a win against the Michigan State Spartans, it’s expected Warren will continue to get the starting nod while Alex Orji sporadically comes into the game as a running threat. No matter who gets the starting nod, generating any sort of pass production will continue to be a struggle for the Wolverines offense as they face off against a Ducks secondary who ranks 40th or better in Def Pass Success Rate, PPA, and Explosiveness.

Speaking of secondaries, Michigan may be without their star cornerback and potential first round draft pick Will Johnson as he is still dealing with an injury. Should Johnson have to sit out, then Heisman contender Dillon Gabriel should face minimal resistance in his efforts of exploiting the gaps in Michigan's coverage as the Wolverines secondary ranks 73rd in Def Pass Success Rate, 97th in Explosiveness, and 73rd in Havoc.

With Oregon’s offense in a position to sustain drives down the full length of the field, they will have the opportunity to dominate the time of possession while also limiting the number of Michigan’s offensive possessions. That helps lessen the chance of Michigan burning the under on their team total, especially since their offense will already struggle with getting into scoring territory.

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Oregon vs. Michigan How to Watch

• When: Saturday, November 2nd

• Where: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan

• Where to Watch: CBS

Oregon vs. Michigan Best Promos and Sportsbooks

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Oregon vs. Michigan Injuries

Oregon Injuries

• DE Jordan Burch - Questionable

• TE Terrance Ferguson - Questionable

Michigan Injuries

• CB Will Johnson - Doubtful

• QB Jack Tuttle - Out