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Quick Lane Bowl: Western Michigan Broncos at Nevada Wolf Pack Predictions, Odds, Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
13 min read
  • When Western Michigan has the ball – Well rounded offense enjoying its home state
  • When Nevada has the ball — Lots of question marks with Strong opting out
  • X-factors to watch

 Western Michigan Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Odds

Western Michigan Vs Nevada

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  • Broncos are 4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record
  • Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games
  • Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games
  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall
  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite
  • Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games in December
  • Under is 4-1 in Broncos last five games following an ATS win
  • Over is 5-2 in Broncos last seven games overall
  • Wolf Pack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five bowl games as an underdog
  • Wolf Pack are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games as an underdog
  • Wolf Pack are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog
  • Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall
  • Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack’s last seven games following an ATS win
  • Over is 8-2 in Wolf Pack last ten games on field turf.

Broncos Look To Keep Balanced Attack for Bowl Season

There are two predominant reasons the Broncos are favored by six points in this game. The first and primary reason, Nevada will not have Carson Strong. But the second reason is the game is being played in Detroit, just a two-hour drive down I-94 from the team’s campus in Kalamazoo, Mich.

Don’t overlook that factor as the Broncos seek their first bowl win since 2015. They do so on the back of an extremely balanced offense. Kaleb Eleby leads the way; he completed 222-of-348 passes (63.8 percent) for 3,146 yards, 21 touchdowns, and five interceptions.

He certainly doesn’t do it alone for the Broncos, who also have two legitimate No. 1 running backs.

Sean Tyler has the better stats – rushing 164 times for 1,004 yards (6.4 yards per carry) and nine touchdowns – but LaDarius Jefferson led the team in scores, rushing 185 times for 836 yards (4.5 yards per carry) with ten touchdowns.

They will have to make sure they do a good job protecting the ball against the Wolfpack, however, who finished No. 1 in the country with a +16 turnover margin.

Nevada Without Carson Strong Is a Big Question Mark

Good luck to everybody betting in this game – because it is very difficult to know what the Wolf Pack offense is going to look like without Carson Strong.

The Wolfpack’s best quarterback since Colin Kaepernick announced last week he will declare for the NFL draft and is opting out of the bowl game. There is a decent chance Strong is a first round pick in the upcoming draft and it is not hard to see why – he went 367-of-524 (70.0 percent) passing this season, racking up 38 touchdowns and just eight interceptions.

He had a clear favorite target in Romeo Doubs, but there are a number of capable pass catchers in this high-flying attack. Doubs, who caught 80 balls for 1,109 yards and 11 touchdowns is expected to play – though that can always change.

The other top pass catchers (Cole Turner, Troy Horton, and Melqual Stovall) have all caught between 52-62 passes and racked up between 643-677 yards.

The only difference is touchdowns: Turner, the tight end, had ten, Horton had five, and Stovall had one.

It is not going to be an easy test, however, going against a Western Michigan defense that ranked 25th in overall defense in the country, which was led by MAC defensive player of the year Ali Fayad who had 35 tackles – 16 for loss as well as 11.5 sacks, eight quarterback hurries and two forced fumbles.

X-factors to Watch

Very clearly for Nevada, in the truest sense of an x-factor, is quarterback Nate Cox. He is a senior who never got his shot, but will now get to play in a bowl game.

He went 14-of-20 passing in limited time this year, amassing 158 yards and just one score with no turnovers.

For Western Michigan, it’s wide receiver Skyy Moore. Moore was an All-conference receiver, catching 91 balls for 1,256 yards and ten touchdowns (all which led the Broncos). Look for him to go over 100 yards in this game, something he did seven times this year, including each of the last two games where he totaled 24 catches for a ridiculous 387 yards and five touchdowns.

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How to Watch Western Michigan vs Nevada

 Western Michigan vs Nevada Information
Teams Western Michigan Broncos at Nevada Wolf Pack
Location Ford Field, Detroit, Mich.
Time Monday, Dec. 27, 11:00 a.m. EST
How to watch ESPN
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Tony Garcia

180 Articles

Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.

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