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UNC vs. Florida State Prediction: Tar Heels First ACC Tournament Game

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published March 14, 2024
10 min read

On day three of the ACC Tournament, the North Carolina Tar Heels will play their first game and take on the Florida State Seminoles. The No. 9 seeded Seminoles defeated the No. 8 Virginia Tech Hokies to get into this game. 

The winner of this game will be just two wins away from being the ACC Tournament champion. 

In their win over the Hokies, the Seminoles scored 86, with Jamir Watkins scoring 34 and hauling in 11 rebounds. 

This matchup also marks the first game the Tar Heels will play since sports betting in North Carolina went live. There are numerous North Carolina sports betting promos you can take advantage of right now, including FanDuel Sportsbook, where you’ll receive $250 in bonus bets after wagering just $5, but there’s even more than that. 

Below, we’ll dive into this matchup more, using odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.

UNC vs. Florida State Prediction

UNC vs. Florida State Betting Odds for March 14

The Tar Heels most recent game was Saturday, March 9, with a road win over the Blue Devils. This was their sixth straight win, and they now have a 25-6 record. Meanwhile, the Seminoles are 17-15 on the year and winners of two straight, including the Hokies and the Miami Hurricanes.

Florida State Seminoles+9.5 (-102)+390Over 153.5 (-115)
North Carolina Tar Heels-9.5 (-120)-530Under 153.5 (-105)

Odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook. Learn more about FanDuel in North Carolina now that betting is legal. Also, don’t forget that folks in North Carolina get $250 in bonus bets at FanDuel just for signing up and making a $5 wager.

UNC vs. Florida State Preview

The Tar Heels and Seminoles will meet for the third time this season, and North Carolina won both games leading up to this one. They’ve won by at least seven in both of them. 

According to KenPom, North Carolina has the fifth-best adjusted defensive efficiency, allowing 93.3 points per 100 possessions while scoring 118.3 points per 100 possessions. Their offensive output is 25th. 

Meanwhile, Florida State allows 100.9 points per 100 possessions while scoring 111. 

When comparing the stats of these two teams, rebounding is the one that really stands out. Of course, the Tar Heels have Armando Bacot corralling rebounds consistently, but the Tar Heels are fifth in the nation with 41 per game, while Florida State is way down at 33.6, which is 249th. Against the Hokies, they did haul in 39, though. 

The Seminoles have an excellent scorer in Watkins, but the Tar Heels have so much more ammunition with Bacot and superstar guard RJ Davis, who averages over 21 points per game.

Use our exclusive link to place your bets at FanDuel and claim a welcome bonus instantly!

UNC vs. Florida State Prediction and Betting Pick

While the Seminoles, as mentioned, have some offensive firepower, the Tar Heels simply have far too much more and will dominate the boards with Bacot leading the way. 

Look for the Tar Heels to put up plenty of points and limit the Seminoles rebounding opportunities. 

A double-digit win is incoming.

How to Watch UNC vs. Florida State

  • When: Thursday, March 14 @ Noon ET

  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

  • TV: ESPN

  • Streaming: ESPN app

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Richard Janvrin

567 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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