Best Josh Allen Prop Bets: Bills vs. Dolphins on Thursday Night Football

• The Bills beat the Cardinals 34-28 to open the season

• Josh Allen had four total touchdowns in the win

• The Dolphins beat the Jaguars by a game-winning field goal in Week 1

The Buffalo Bills started slowly in their season opener against the Cardinals. Kyler Murray and company came out firing and took an early lead over the Bills. Josh Allen turned the ball over in the first quarter, but the Bills stayed on the attack.

After the early turnover, Allen settled in and accounted for four touchdowns. He threw for 232 yards and added another 39 on the ground to lead the Bills to 34-28 to open the season. 

Since Allen can run and throw, he is the perfect player for prop betting. We have identified a few picks we like on bet365. 

Allen should have a big day padding his stats, and we have targeted some props for the game on bet365 Sportsbook. As a special offer, bet365 offers new users a $1,000 safety net bet or $200 in bonus bets. Claim this deal by following our exclusive bet365 link and using promo code WSN365.

Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown (-138) at bet365 Sportsbook

Josh Allen’s anytime touchdown odds last were -125. After his two-touchdown performance, they have jumped to -138 for Week 2. Even though this is a heavy price for a quarterback touchdown, it’s worth it for Allen.

As we saw in Week 1, when the Bills are in the red zone, Allen becomes a run-first player. The team uses him in the designed run game, and is also an elite scrambling quarterback.

Allen carried the ball nine times for 39 yards in the opener with two touchdowns. He only averaged 4.3 yards per carry with a long run of nine yards, but many of them were all back-breaking runs around the goal line. 

Thanks to Allen’s size, Buffalo can afford to run quarterback power and not worry about massive injuries to the quarterback. Look for Buffalo to move the ball up and down the field on the Dolphins and for drives to finish with Allen using his legs. 

In two games against Miami last season, Allen had one rushing touchdown and posted some serious yardage totals.

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Josh Allen Under 37.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

Allen’s rushing total in Week 1 was only 31.5. It has now gone up to 37.5, thanks to his big game against Arizona. Miami has a much better defense than the Cardinals, but the opener revealed how Buffalo depends on Allen. 

Keon Coleman, the team’s rookie wide receiver, contributed, along with James Cook, but Allen is the offense's engine. The team lost Stefon Diggs in the offseason, which forces Allen to be run-first more than the team would want for their franchise quarterback. 

Allen had nine carries for 39 yards against the Cardinals, but we expect a higher total for him on Thursday, so we’re betting the over for his total. 

The Bills were primarily in a two-score hole throughout the first half of the opener against Arizona. They were forced to throw the ball down the field to climb back into the game. 

Once they caught up, Allen began using his legs with designed run plays. If the Bills can keep pace with Mike McDaniels’ offense, these runs should be utilized earlier in the game. 

Allen had a tremendous rushing game against the Dolphins last January. He ran the ball 15 times for 67 yards with a long carry of 15 yards. It’s never a bad idea to take a rushing over for such a dominant runner like Allen.

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Josh Allen Over 237.5 Passing Yards (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook

Allen’s passing yards total is 237.5 for Thursday’s game against the Bills. The over for this prop is our favorite bet on the card because he has surpassed this consistently against Miami. 

Allen doesn’t have the same crop of weapons to work within 2024, but he knows how to shred Miami’s secondary. He has gone over this line in five straight games against the Dolphins, and the results have been massive. 

His passing yards against Miami over the past five games have been 359, 320, 304, 400, and 249. He has averaged 280.3 yards against the Dolphins over his career. 

Even though his weapons are scarce, it’s still a viable betting option to take the over on Allen’s passing total. The Dolphins throw the ball all over the field, so the Bills must pass to maintain pace.

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Josh Allen 2024 Stats

• Passing Yards: 232

• Passing Touchdowns: 2

• Interceptions: 0

• Carries: 9

• Rushing Yards: 39

• Rushing Touchdowns: 2