The Ravens dominated the Buccaneers to cap off Week 7
The Chiefs are the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL
The Chiefs are favored to win the AFC at +220
The Kansas City Chiefs are the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL, but they have plenty of competition in the AFC. The Chiefs knocked off the Ravens to open the season, but Baltimore is trending upward following their win over the Buccaneers on Monday Night Football.
The Ravens are currently +280 to win the AFC Championship, down from +370 before Week 7. Baltimore has a lot of talent, but they have failed to beat the Chiefs in high-leverage games.
The Bills and Texans are the other two teams with fewer than 10-1 odds. As the season unfolds, the AFC Championship race will be highly competitive.
The AFC odds consistently change, making betting difficult. Here, we will analyze the changes and predict the conference winner.
Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Click on the odds below and head to FanDuel to place your bets: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | +220 BET HERE |
Baltimore Ravens | +280 BET HERE |
Buffalo Bills | +500 BET HERE |
Houston Texans | +600 BET HERE |
Cincinnati Bengals | +1800 BET HERE |
Pittsburgh Steelers | +2300 BET HERE |
Los Angeles Chargers | +3100 BET HERE |
New York Jets | +3100 BET HERE |
Indianapolis Colts | +3500 BET HERE |
Miami Dolphins | +3500 BET HERE |
Denver Broncos | +6500 BET HERE |
Jacksonville Jaguars | +7500 BET HERE |
Tennessee Titans | +18000 BET HERE |
Las Vegas Raiders | +24000 BET HERE |
Cleveland Browns | +34000 BET HERE |
New England Patriots | +50000 BET HERE |
The Kansas City Chiefs continue to shine. They’re the only remaining undefeated team in the NFL. The most impressive part of their run thus far has been how they have overcome injuries without hesitation.
They lost Rashee Rice and Isiah Pacheco but have continued moving forward. Kareem Hunt has done an excellent job for the team and is coming off a strong performance against the 49ers.
Hunt rushed for 78 yards and two touchdowns against San Francisco, a team known for having one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL. Nick Bosa looked out of sorts throughout the game, as Andy Reid did an excellent job slowing him down.
Patrick Mahomes is one of the favorites to win MVP, but he hasn’t played like an elite quarterback. Mahomes was 16 of 27 for 154 yards and two interceptions.
While Mahomes isn’t posting massive stats, he is still the best winner in the NFL, and this is what matters. Quarterbacks are judged on winning, and Mahomes has made big throws all season despite not having a lot of weapons.
Kansas City has a relatively easy stretch of games for the next three weeks. They face the Raiders on Sunday, followed by the Buccaneers and Broncos.
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The Ravens have issues getting the job done in the playoffs, but they have been one of the best regular-season teams in the NFL for years. They showed their regular-season dominance on Monday Night Football against the Buccaneers.
Baltimore traveled to Tampa Bay and dominated the Buccaneers for three of four quarters. Tampa Bay owned the first 15 minutes, and then the Ravens exploded for three quarters.
Lamar Jackson had one of his best games of the season, throwing for 281 yards and five touchdowns on the night.
Derrick Henry also continues to dominate the Offensive Rookie of the Year market, adding 169 yards on 15 attempts. Henry had an 81-yard rush in the third quarter.
Henry failed to record a rushing touchdown but caught a 13-yard scoring pass from Jackson. The two have looked very strong offensively for Baltimore, and this could be the necessary combination to eliminate Mahomes in the playoffs.
The Ravens travel to Cleveland to face the Browns on Sunday, which could be a tough matchup. Cleveland has a talented defense, and Jameis Winston should provide a spark at quarterback.
After Cleveland, Baltimore will host the Broncos and Bengals. It will be a tough stretch for the Ravens, who must show if they can represent the AFC in the Super Bowl.
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The Buffalo Bills went from +450 to +500 to win the AFC Championship following Week 7. They took care of business against the Titans but started very slow in the contest.
However, the slide in the odds was thanks to the Chiefs and Ravens looking like heavyweight contenders. The Bills haven’t played a demanding schedule yet, so bettors are still skeptical of the team.
They’re 5-2, but the two losses came to the Ravens and Texans, who are AFC contenders. The Bills should coast through their division because the Jets are horrendous, and they were the biggest threat to a title.
Josh Allen continues to impress, throwing for 323 yards and two touchdowns. The Bills didn’t run the ball well, which is a surprise, but they still had two touchdowns on the ground.
Buffalo travels across the country this week to face Seattle before hosting the Dolphins on November 3rd.
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The Ravens have struggled in high-pressure spots over the years. Yet, they didn’t have Henry when they lost in the playoffs recently. Henry's addition adds a new dimension to this team.
Jackson can run and throw, and defenses have a hard time stopping him for an entire game. When Henry is added to the mix, the Ravens become one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL.
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The Chiefs won the AFC Championship Game in 2023, defeating the Ravens 27-20. Kansas City’s defense was fantastic throughout the entire game.
Lamar Jackson won the MVP in 2023-24, and Kansas City’s defense made him look silly. Jackson turned the ball over multiple times and was held to 54 yards rushing. Considering he was the Ravens' leading rusher, this limited result was a massive success for Kansas City.
Travis Kelce delivered for the Chiefs on offense, catching 11 passes for 116 yards with one touchdown. This marked the second straight AFC Championship victory for Kansas City and their sixth consecutive year in the title game.
The NFC and AFC were formed in 1970 when the NFL merged with the American Football League (AFL), splitting the league into two distinct conferences. The Baltimore Colts (now the Indianapolis Colts) defeated the Oakland Raiders (Las Vegas Raiders) 27-17 in the first AFC Championship Game.
The winner of the AFC Championship Game earns a bid in the Super Bowl against the NFC champion and also takes home the Lamar Hunt trophy, named after the founder of the AFL.
Year | Champion |
---|---|
2023 | Kansas City Chiefs |
2022 | Kansas City Chiefs |
2021 | Cincinnati Bengals |
2020 | Kansas City Chiefs |
2019 | Kansas City Chiefs |
2018 | New England Patriots |
2017 | New England Patriots |
2016 | New England Patriots |
2015 | Denver Broncos |
2014 | New England Patriots |
2013 | Denver Broncos |
2012 | Baltimore Ravens |
2011 | New England Patriots |
2010 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
2009 | Indianapolis Colts |
2008 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
2007 | New England Patriots |
2006 | Indianapolis Colts |
2005 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
2004 | New England Patriots |
2003 | New England Patriots |
2002 | Oakland Raiders |
2001 | New England Patriots |
2000 | Baltimore Ravens |
1999 | Tennessee Titans |
1998 | Denver Broncos |
1997 | Denver Broncos |
1996 | New England Patriots |
1995 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1994 | San Diego Chargers |
1993 | Buffalo Bills |
1992 | Buffalo Bills |
1991 | Buffalo Bills |
1990 | Buffalo Bills |
1989 | Denver Broncos |
1988 | Cincinnati Bengals |
1987 | Denver Broncos |
1986 | Denver Broncos |
1985 | New England Patriots |
1984 | Miami Dolphins |
1983 | Los Angeles Raiders |
1982 | Miami Dolphins |
1981 | Cincinnati Bengals |
1980 | Oakland Raiders |
1979 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1978 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1977 | Denver Broncos |
1976 | Oakland Raiders |
1975 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1974 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
1973 | Miami Dolphins |
1972 | Miami Dolphins |
1971 | Miami Dolphins |
1970 | Baltimore Colts |
NFL bettors can place wagers on a variety of futures markets, both long-term and short-term, depending on when the bets are placed.
Futures bets are available for team and player performances. The closer the finish line on the bets, the more lopsided the bets usually are in favor of the prospective winner. Betting futures far away from the completion date is, therefore usually more profitable, unless there is a huge upset or reversal in fortunes late into the season.
Here are different kinds of futures bets that are available.
Bettors can find project win totals for every team in the league and wager on whether or not the team will exceed that total. Win totals are usually set at x.5 so that there are no pushes (draws). For example, the Bengals have a projected win total of 11.5, so 11 wins or fewer would be under, and 12 or more would be over.
There is a selection of record breakers bets available at the start of every season. They target players that are either close to historical achievements or have shown a propensity or ability to challenge for all-time marks.
An example of a record breakers bet is Patrick Mahomes to throw for the most yards in a single NFL season. In 2022, he threw for 5,250 last season, which is just about 13.3 yards per game off the all-time mark.
Bettors can also bet on player single-season totals in different areas, including passing and rushing totals, sacks, interceptions, and more. These are correlated to but still distinctly different from awards betting (which we discuss below).
Players can also throw down bets on which athletes will win different awards, including MVP, Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year, and more. These bets can be placed from the first day post-Super Bowl all the way until the end of the season, but the odds are constantly changing.
Choosing the best online sportsbook can seem like a daunting process, but it is actually not all that bad. We have provided a guide on how to pick the best sportsbook for your NFL betting pleasure, which we encourage you to read.
Make sure to try out different sportsbooks and find the one that you are the most comfortable with before making any long-term commitments.
For more information, check our list of the best NFL betting sites.
BetMGM | Caesars | FanDuel | |
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AFC Championship Winner Odds | +220 | +230 | +220 |
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There’s a very simple way to remember how odds work.
If the odds value starts with a “-,” that means that bettors have to risk the listed amount to win $100. For example, -400 odds means that a $400 bet will result in a $100 profit. Lines with “-” are usually (but not always) the favored outcome, or the one that is expected to occur.
If the odds value is preceded by a “+,” that means that a $100 bet will win the listed amount. So, +400 odds means that a $100 bet will result in $400 of profit.
NFL betting sites offer constant welcome bonuses to new users to make the sign-up process more enjoyable and profitable. Bonuses can result in all sorts of prizes, including money-back in bet credits if the first bet loses, guaranteed bonus bets, odds boosts, deposit matches, and much more.
Every sportsbook will accept different forms of payment, although almost all of them have the same basic options. You can find more information about what payment methods are available at a particular sportsbook by consulting our sportsbook reviews or navigating to the deposit section of your sportsbook.
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