The Green Bay Packers are under .500 for the first time in what feels like an eternity. This game doesn’t exactly have the same hype as it did in the preseason with the Packers as 11ish point underdogs on the road against the Buffalo Bills, but as always, there’s money to be made.
Instead of the moneyline, spread, or total, we’re going to look at single-player prop bets.
Despite the Packers’ flaws on offense this year, Rodgers has just three interceptions. He’s been fairly clean this season in the turnover department, something he’s always been known for.
However, the Bills are the best team in the league against the run in terms of yards per game, so Rodgers will likely need to throw to this cast of receivers more than ever, as a double-digit point underdog.
The Bills have 10 interceptions on the season, and there’s a more than 0% chance that one of these receivers botches a route or puts the ball in harm’s way against an aggressive Bills coverage unit.
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On The Pat McAfee Show this past week, Rodgers talked quite openly about the number of mental errors the team, particularly the receivers, have had.
Rodgers said that these players shouldn’t be on the field, too. While we don’t know exactly who those players are, we can say it’s unlikely to be tight end Robert Tonyan.
Tonyan, coming off an injury, is just one week removed from a double-digit target day. He had just four targets last week, however.
Against the Bills as a double-digit underdog, Rodgers will need to look to receivers he can depend on, and Tonyan profiles as one of those. He’ll also match up quite a bit against linebacker Tremaine Edmunds, which is a fairly neutral matchup. Edmunds has allowed 10 receptions over the past two games, including a touchdown.
At +280, this is a reasonable bet to make.
The Packers allow the fifth-most rushing yards per game, which initially puts Singletary in a good spot to get over this number.
Remember, the Bills are 11.5-point favorites, so this game could profile as the Bills having a lead early and often and just pounding the ball with Singletary to drain the clock out.
Singletary saw a season-high 17 carries in Week 6 and had 85 rushing yards. Before that, however, Singletary went over double-digit carries just one time.
Also, the Packers allow under 170 passing yards per game, which is the lowest in the league.
For this to go over, you’ll need to depend on the Singletary rushing production, which isn’t the most reliable method to getting there.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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