Best Drake Maye Player Props for Patriots vs. Broncos in the AFC Championship

• Drake Maye is an MVP finalist 

• Jarrett Stidham will start at quarterback for the Broncos 

• The Patriots are 5.5-point favorites

Denver received unfortunate news following its Divisional Round win over Buffalo, as Nix suffered a season-ending injury. Despite that setback, the Broncos have fielded one of the best defenses in the NFL all year, and that unit will need to play at an elite level if they want to stay competitive in this matchup.

Drake Maye has put together a phenomenal season for New England, and he’s now just one game away from reaching the Super Bowl. While this may not be his biggest statistical performance, I do expect Maye to make timely plays when it matters most.

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Best Drake Maye Player Props for Patriots vs. Broncos

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Drake Maye Under 226.5 Passing Yards (-115) at bet365

I expect the Patriots to win this game, but I don’t think Drake Maye will be the focal point of the offense. Mike Vrabel has leaned heavily on the run game all season, and I expect that approach to continue against one of the best secondaries in football.

Maye has gone under this passing total in two of his last three games, failing to reach 200 yards in both contests. In each of those games, New England controlled the game on the ground, limiting Maye’s volume through the air.

With the Patriots committed to running the football, opportunities for Maye to clear this number will be limited. Denver’s defense should also come out motivated, especially with its starting quarterback sidelined.

The Broncos rank ninth in the NFL against the pass, allowing just 191.6 passing yards per game. If Denver sticks to its game plan, it will force Maye to rely on short throws and methodical drives.

I expect a close, low-scoring game, and Maye finishing under this passing total fits the script.

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Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+235) at bet365

While Maye isn’t known as a high-volume rushing quarterback, he has found the end zone four times on the ground this season. In a game where points should be at a premium, Maye’s mobility gives him legitimate touchdown upside.

Denver will be focused on slowing down New England’s running backs and limiting Stefon Diggs, but Maye is still a dynamic playmaker. If the Broncos bring pressure, he has the ability to escape the pocket and create with his legs.

At +235, this prop offers strong value. Maye has carried the ball 14 times through two playoff games, including 10 rushes for 66 yards against Los Angeles in the Wild Card round.

This touchdown prop doesn’t get much attention due to the talent around him, but Vrabel clearly trusts Maye in big moments. One scramble near the goal line is all it takes for this wager to cash.

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Drake Maye Under 29.5 Pass Attempts (-115) at bet365

The final prop I’m backing is Maye to go under 29.5 pass attempts. If New England plays with a lead, which I expect, there will be little reason to deviate from a run-heavy approach.

Maye has gone under this number in both playoff games and has only exceeded it in eight games all season. With Denver’s strong secondary, Vrabel should once again lean on the ground game.

The Patriots feature one of the best running back duos in the NFL with Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson, and their workload has steadily increased in meaningful games.

If New England wins this game, it will be because they controlled the clock and the trenches, making Maye’s under on pass attempts the right play.

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Drake Maye Stats

• Passing Yards: 4,394

• Touchdowns: 31

• Interceptions: 8

• QBR: 77.1

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