Last week, Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence threw four first-half INTs
AFC’s number one-seeded Kansas City Chiefs have won 10 of their last 11 games
Watch Jaguars vs Chiefs live on Saturday, January 21, 2023, at 4:30 PM ET on NBC
POINT SPREAD: Kansas City Chiefs -9.0 (-104) at WynnBet
POINTS TOTAL: Over 52 (-109) at Unibet
SPECIAL: KC Chiefs - Team Total TDs O3.5 (-145) at DraftKings
The first game of the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs is an AFC battle between the fourth-seeded Jacksonville Jaguars and the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs, these Jags having just survived the Wild Card round after QB Trevor Lawrence posted four first-half interceptions now taking on the well-rested and (relatively) healthy Chiefs who just enjoyed their postseason bye.
The Chiefs outrank the Jaguars on both sides of the ball, KC’s number one offense and 11th-ranked defense favored by almost two digits over Jacksonville’s top-10 offense and 25th-best defense, with young QB Lawrence and seasoned playoff veteran Patrick Mahomes bringing similar styles to the field – impressive arms and scrambling legs making things happen.
The oddsmakers tell us that the Jaguars have covered the spread in five of their last six games and that the Chiefs have won 10 of their last 11 matchups, the big question being whether this game will be close or if Chiefs HC Andy Reid will game plan a win over Jags HC Doug Pederson, two veteran team leaders who know what it takes to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.
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For sports bettors who want a traditional wager, Unibet has set the points total at 52, a relatively high place-setter especially since this game will be played in the Missouri chill of Arrowhead Stadium, these two offenses big scoring units with the Jags having averaged 23.8 points per game this year and the Chiefs posting a league-best 29.2 each week, that total of 53 just over the bet here.
Of course, the potentially chilly January weather could make this a low-scoring game and the defenses might take over and holt tight, with Jacksonville’s side having allowed opponents to score 20.6 points per game and Kansas City’s defense giving up 21.7 points per game, that combined total of 42.3 well under what this bet allows so consider that as you place this wager.
After Jags QB Lawrence threw four interceptions last week, expect the Chiefs’ secondary run by DC Steve Spagnuolo to game plan some more picks featuring CBs L’Jarius Sneed and rookie Jaylen Watson along with safeties Justin Reid and Juan Thornhill with rookie nickelback Trent McDuffie taking on the Jags WR playmakers including Zay Jones, Marvin Jones, and Christian Kirk.
Here is an exciting special from DraftKings that asks the bettor to guess how many touchdowns they believe the Kansas City Chiefs will score in this Divisional Round matchup, that bet set at 3.5 touchdowns so for those who believe HC Reid and QB Mahomes have some scoring to do bet the over that they will post 4 TDs or more and a $145 winning bet will win back $100 plus the wager.
For KC haters and Jaguar fans alike, the under (+105) is also available which means that the league’s leading scorers this season will score three or fewer touchdowns, that winning $100 bet paying out $105 plus the original investment, though the likelihood of the Chiefs scoring that little seems slim given that they averaged a league-best 3.59 touchdowns per game in 2022.
The sportsbooks tell us that the Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six home games, so this bet should get exciting right away, and with Mahomes under center targeting Marquez Valdes-Scantling and TE Travis Kelce, we like the over, especially since this team had the playoff bye and got to sit a week resting, now ready to take the field and find the end zone.
What: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO
When: Saturday, January 21, 2023, at 4:30 PM ET
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Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]More info on Mike Lukas
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