Monday Night Football Picks Week 16: Packers Host a Broken Saints Squad

• The Saints haven’t lost by more than one score since October 27

• The New Orleans defense is allowing 16.6 points per game over their last five

• The weather is forecasted to be cold, with a chance of snow

This week features one of the season's most lopsided Monday Night Football matchups. A battered and broken New Orleans Saints team will head to the Frozen Tundra to take on the 10-4 Green Bay Packers. While bookmakers have set a large spread, there is more to this matchup than meets the eye. 

We have you covered if you want to wager on both of this week’s Monday Night Football matchups. Below, we’ll share our favorite bets for this matchup, helping you win your wagers on Monday night. We’ll use odds from Caesars Sportsbook, which gives new users a Bet $1, Double Your Winnings on Your Next 10 Bets offer when they sign up using promo code WSNDYW.

Saints +14 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

New Orleans isn’t going to win this game, but this is way too many points to give up, given how the defense has played. The unit has been fantastic over their last three games, including against the Rams and Commanders. Those games were ultimately lost thanks to the offense, but both were by no more than seven points. The Saints have not lost by more than one score since October 27. 

This has all the hallmarks of a trap game for Green Bay. The Saints have lost almost all of their offensive playmakers to injury this season, giving some of their young players a chance to see some action. That includes second-year back Kendre Miller, who averaged 5.1 YPC after taking over for Kamara last week.

Green Bay will win this game, but count on the Saints to turn some heads on Monday Night Football.

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Under 42.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

We expect the Saints to cover this massive spread because of their recent play on defense. Over their last five games, the defense is averaging 16.6 points allowed.

The Packers’ offense has been fantastic lately, scoring 30+ points in four consecutive games. However, the weather forecast calls for low temperatures and snow, slowing down the offense and forcing the team to rely on its impressive run game.

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Green Bay FG on First Drive (+290) at Caesars Sportsbook

The Packers have been scoring touchdowns at a higher rate in the second half of the season. However, the price for an opening drive touchdown is not worth the risk.

One big reason we love this bet is how these teams stack up in the red zone. Green Bay has been better of late but still ranks fourteenth in touchdown percentage in the red zone. Meanwhile, the Saints' red zone ranks eighth in the same category. 

That, combined with the poor weather, will result in an opening drive that fails to reach the red zone.

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