Best Sam Darnold Player Props for the Seahawks vs. Patriots Big Game

• The Seattle Seahawks are listed as the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl

• Sam Darnold is averaging 8.9 Yards per Completion in the playoffs

• The New England Patriots front seven ranks 29th in Rushing Yards Before Contact

After reviving his career in Minnesota, Sam Darnold has been able to build on his resurgence in Seattle as the Seahawks quarterback is now just one win away from lifting up the Lombardi Trophy. Heading into the Super Bowl, Darnold will be able to consistently stay ahead of the sticks as he faces off against the New England Patriots who struggle to get into the backfield.

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Best Sam Darnold Player Props for the Big Game

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Sam Darnold Over 19.5 Pass Completions (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After lighting the league on fire in the regular season, Sam Darnold has been able to carry over his momentum into the playoffs as the Super Bowl MVP favorite is averaging 8.9 Yards per Throw while completing nearly 70.0% of his passes. His production has been vital to Seattle’s success this year as the Seahawks offense currently ranks in the top-5 in Pass DVOA and in Success Rate.

Heading into Sunday, expect Darnold to put together one last efficient performance as he faces off against the New England Patriots who rank below league average in Pass Rush PFF Grade and in Pressure Rate. With more time in the open field due to the Patriots' lack of pressure, Darnold’s pass catchers will be able to break away from their coverage which will drastically widen the width of his passing lanes.

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Sam Darnold Longest Completion Over 35.5 Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even with the Patriots blitzing at a very low rate, their extra bodies in coverage have not helped them in their efforts of creating disruptions as their defense also ranks 16th in Def Pass DVOA. With fewer defenders near the point of contact, Darnold’s chances of generating an explosive play through the air increases. Be sure to monitor the weather before placing this bet as the Super Bowl may call for high wind gusts which will lessen the quality of Darnold’s throws.

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Sam Darnold Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With Darnold capable of keeping the Seahawks offense ahead of the sticks by exploiting the Patriots' gaps in coverage, he will see an uptick in his total number of scoring opportunities while getting into the red zone at a higher rate. When inside the 20, expect Darnold to continue to connect with his pass catchers as the Patriots' secondary have struggled to take advantage of the shortened field per their bottom 15 mark in Def Pass EPA.

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Sam Darnold Over 6.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even while dealing with an oblique injury, Darnold was still able to extend plays with his legs in the NFC Conference Championship by averaging 3.0 Yards per Carry. By successfully scrambling out of the pocket, this applies serious pressure to opposing linebackers as they already have their hands full trying to slow down the Seahawks deep group of pass catchers.

Fortunately for Darnold, he will have a great opportunity to keep the Seahawks drives alive with his legs as he faces off against a Patriots front seven who ranks 29th in Rushing Yards Before Contact and 22nd in Def Rush Success Rate. For some more exposure, escalator bet Darnold’s Rushing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.

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Sam Darnold 2025-2026 Postseason Stats

• Passing Yards: 470

• Passing Touchdowns: 4

• Completion Percentage: 69.8%

• Total Interceptions: 0

• Total Sacks: 5

• Average Yards per Throw: 8.9

• Passing Yards per Game: 235.0

• Quarterback Rating: 122.4

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