NFL Super Bowl LVIII MVP Odds: Mahomes Overtakes Purdy as New Betting Favorite

The stage is set: the San Francisco 49ers will take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII, a rematch of Super Bowl LIV that saw the Chiefs win 31-20.

While Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy will dominate the headlines during the two weeks of anticipation and build-up, there are several other key players from both teams that are right there in the mix to win the Super Bowl LVIII MVP award. 

Without further ado, here are the top betting odds for the Super Bowl LVIII MVP.

NFL Super Bowl LVII MVP Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Click on the odds below to place your bets at DraftKings and get $200 in Bonus Bets.

Favorites to Win Super Bowl LVIII MVP

Patrick Mahomes, QB (+120) - Kansas City Chiefs

Mahomes is the best player in the history of football (or at least on his way to being that) and has not played one bad game in his playoff career. He just threw for 241 yards and a touchdown and completed 76.9% of his passes against the Baltimore Ravens’ top-ranked defense and has QBRs of 88.4, 91.2, and 91.1 in three games this postseason.

The reigning Super Bowl MVP threw for 286 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions when he met the Niners in the Super Bowl in 2020 and 182 yards and three TDs against the Philadelphia Eagles last February. He hasn’t turned the ball over in five straight games and is getting the best out of his team at the most opportune times.

Brock Purdy, QB (+225) - San Francisco 49ers

Purdy went 20-31 for 267 yards, one TD, and one INT against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship Game. He wasn’t convincing in that game or against the Green Bay Packers but also led second-half comebacks in both and made several impact plays with his legs on Sunday.

The 24-year-old has five TDs and one INT in five career postseason games (one of which ended prematurely due to a torn UCL). He led the league in yards per attempt and QBR during the regular season but needs to get past a Chiefs defense that tormented Lamar Jackson last week and allowed the second-fewest points and yards during the regular season. 

Christian McCaffrey, RB (+475) - San Francisco 49ers

McCaffrey ran for two touchdowns in each of the Niners playoff games this season and has now scored at least once in 15 of 18 games this season. He averaged 126.8 yards per game and scored 25 touchdowns in total and is the focal point of San Fran’s offense whether they’re ahead or trailing.

Although individual awards (particularly MVPs) are usually quarterback awards, McCaffrey is in a unique position because of his importance to the Niners’ offense. That said, 12 or the last 17 Super Bowl MVPs were quarterbacks, and no running back has won the Super Bowl MVP since Super Bowl XXXII in 1998.

Super Bowl LVIII MVP

Our Pick: Patrick Mahomes (+120) at DraftKings

We had Mahomes as our pick for weeks and aren’t budging. This is simply the best football player that anyone has ever seen who, once again, gets to use the motivation of being an underdog to fuel him in his quest for his third Super Bowl. He’s found a way to make big plays while funneling the ball to his trusted targets and without putting the ball in harm’s way, which should help against a Niners defense that’s underperformed in the postseason.

Long Shot: Travis Kelce (+1200) at DraftKings

Kelce was quiet for the latter half of the regular season but has three touchdowns in his last two games and just recorded his second-most receptions in a game this season (11 for 116 yards). He averaged 87.3 yards per game in the postseason and has career playoff numbers of 86.2 yards and 19 touchdowns in 21 games.

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Super Bowl MVPs by Position