LA has scored 26+ points in three straight games
Chase Brown has averaged 3.3 YPC or less in three of his previous four games
The Bengals have just 17 sacks on the season
We have been looking forward to this Sunday Night Football matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Los Angeles Chargers. The Bengals' offense has been fantastic, but poor defense has them in danger of missing the playoffs. By contrast, the Chargers have gone from being a nice story to start the season to being one of the top teams in the league.
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As well as Joe Burrow and the offense have been playing, the Bengals' defense continues to cost them games. That was the case again last weekend when the team fell one point shy of a win against the Ravens. Cincinnati had no way to stop Lamar Jackson and Baltimore, leading head coach Zac Taylor to attempt an ill-fated two-point conversion to win the game in regulation.
The Chargers' offense isn’t as explosive as the Ravens', but they have scored at least 26 points in three consecutive games. Much of their success has come against bad teams, but we aren’t sure the Bengals don’t fall into that category.
Expect a great Chargers defense to stand tall against the Bengals offense, leading to a low-scoring win for LA.
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Aside from an easy matchup against the Raiders, Chase Brown has been bad over the last month. He has averaged 3.3 YPC or less in three of his previous four games and has failed to gain more than 65 yards in five of his last six. We haven’t been impressed with the 24-year-old back and expect his poor production to continue on Sunday.
The Chargers’ run defense ranks in the top ten in yards allowed and surrendered a league-low three touchdowns. The team’s YPC average isn’t great, but neither is Chase Brown. Look for the young back to struggle, leading to another 50+ pass effort from Joe Burrow.
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The Bengals' pass defense continues to be a problem this season. While Trey Hendrickson leads the league with 11 sacks, the team only has 17 total. The lack of a pass rush puts a ton of pressure on the secondary, and the results have been disastrous.
Herbert’s numbers have been down with Keenan Allen, Mike Williama, and Austin Ekler all gone. However, he has built strong connections with Ladd McConkey, Joshua Palmer, and Quentin Johnston. Any of those receivers are capable of breaking big plays, and Cinci doesn’t have the depth to contain all three.
We have been wary with overs on Justin Herbert this season, but the Bengals' defensive struggles make this one a no-brainer.
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