Super Bowl Scorigami Odds: Will We See a Scorigami for Patriots vs. Seahawks?
A scorigami occurs when the final score of a game is one that has never happened before in NFL history (not just the Super Bowl or postseason play).
Three Super Bowls have ended with scorigamis: Super Bowl 21, 24, and 48.
Four regular-season games ended with a scorigami.
Sportsbooks want to ensure there is a market to interest everyone in betting on Super Bowl 60. Most of them are traditional options like spreads, moneyline, various novelty and player props. But there are also unique ones, like whether there will be a scorigami.
No, a scorigami is not the NFL's version of a shark-nado. It is simply a final score that has never occurred before in the history of the game. I’m not talking about the history of the Super Bowl or the playoffs, but in NFL history.
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Super Bowl Scorigami Odds
Here are the odds of a scorigami in Super Bowl 60, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Create your FanDuel account today and claim the welcome offer: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.
We dive into more details on this offer in our FanDuel Promo Code overview.
According to the odds, there is a 3.85% chance that one does occur. Should that happen, a $100 bet would result in a $2600 payday, your stake plus $2500 in winnings. However, according to the odds, there is a 99.5% chance that one does not occur.
If you want to take that bet, you’ll need to risk $20,000 just to win $100. For what it’s worth, the odds for ‘No’ last year were -10000, which equates to a 99.01% chance.
Super Bowl Scorigami Odds: Our Pick
When there is a 99.5% chance of a particular outcome, I think the right pick is clear- No. Does that mean you should bet NO? Let me ask another question first? If you have $20,000, you can bet on a football game, do you want to put it at risk just to win $100?
I’d wager the answer to that is also ‘No.’
However, if you are looking for a wager to place your first bet on in order to get $200 in bonus bets, this market is as good as it gets. FanDuel lets you bet on any market it carries odds for to qualify for the Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets (if you win) promo.
The wager will only win $.02, but you’ll get $200 in bonus bets from FanDuel.
Win a $5 Wager at FanDuel, Get $200 in Bonus Bets
Super Bowl Scorigami: Is There Value in Betting on Yes?
The short answer to that question is ‘Yes.’
Let’s say that you put your first bet on a college basketball or NBA game and got your bonus bets in time to use them to bet on Super Bowl 60. Put a $25 bonus bet on ‘Yes,’ and if it cashes, you’ll win $625.
Not bad, right? But that doesn’t mean there’s value. A bet has value when the actual chances of an outcome are better than the odds imply. In this case, the chance of a scorigami according to the odds is 3.85%.
During the regular season, there were four games that ended with a scorigami:
Week 1: Bills 41, Ravens 40
Week 4: Cowboys 40, Packers 40
Week 10: Texans 36, Jaguars 29
Week 11: Bills 44, Buccaneers 32
Four games out of 272 regular-season games equate to a 1.5% hit rate. According to the odds, there is a 3.85% chance. So, by this measure, the answer is no. This bet does not have value.
But if you use the number of Super Bowls that ended with a scorigami (three), there is a 5% chance Patriots vs. Seahawks will end with one. If we use just past Super Bowls as a reference, this market does have value (not much, but it does).
Bet $5 at FanDuel, Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
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