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The round of 16 at World Cup 2022 continues on Sunday, as England and France take on Senegal and Poland respectively.
We have previewed the action by picking out the best prop bets - a type of selection that does not consider the final result and instead focuses on various in-game events.
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Wednesday was a day of celebration for Poland, although it did not really feel like it. Czeslaw Michniewicz’s men advanced to the knockout phase by the skin of their teeth, despite losing 2-0 to Argentina. They beat Mexico to second place in Group C on goal difference alone, but their poor performance against Lionel Messi and co. suggests Poland will struggle here.
France may have lost 1-0 to Tunisia on matchday three but they had the luxury of being able to rest most of their regular starters. Ousmane Dembele, Kylian Mbappe, and Antoine Griezmann all came off the bench, but the three attackers will be fresher than they would have been had they played 90 minutes in midweek.
That is good news for France and bad news for Poland. The reigning champions could turn on the style in a convincing win here.
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One man who did not feature at all against Tunisia was Olivier Giroud. The 36-year-old will therefore be well rested for Sunday’s showdown and we like his chances of finding the back of the net anytime.
Poland tend to sit deep no matter who they face, but they will be especially wary of pushing high up the pitch against an attack that contains Mbappe and Dembele, both of whom are lightning-quick. Poland will therefore be forced back into the penalty box, which is exactly where Giroud thrives.
Look out for France sending crosses toward the striker, particularly from the attack-minded left-back Theo Hernandez. Giroud has two goals in Qatar and should be able to add to his tally at the Al Thumama Stadium.
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Many England fans were critical of the team and Gareth Southgate after a 0-0 draw with the USA on matchday two, but in the end the Three Lions advanced from Group B without too much difficulty. This has the potential to be a tricky encounter, though.
Senegal are without their star man Sadio Mane but they showed in Group A that they are a tough side to beat. Only the Netherlands managed to get the better of them - and their victory came with two late goals at the end of an even game.
Senegal are a tough nut to crack, as they demonstrated at the Africa Cup of Nations earlier this year. We think the score will still be level at half-time of Saturday’s second contest.
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In the end, though, we think England should have just about enough to get over the line. This is unlikely to be a comfortable victory against such a dogged opponent, but Southgate has plenty of options on the bench and that could ultimately make the difference.
If Marcus Rashford and Phil Foden start either side of Harry Kane in attack, that would leave Jack Grealish, Bukayo Saka, Raheem Sterling, and James Maddison among the potential game-changing options waiting in reserve.
England conceded two goals in the group phase, but both of those came once a victory over Iran was already wrapped up. They have been strong defensively throughout the Southgate era and that should continue here.
Location: Qatar
Dates: November 20 - December 18
How to Watch: Fox Sports, Telemundo, fuboTV
Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]
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