Image for Nikhil Kalro Nikhil Kalro - November 9, 2022

IEM Rio Major 2022 Picks, Odds For November 10-12

  • Outsiders and Fnatic face each other in the first quarterfinal, which promises to be tight
  • The contest between the first and eighth seed, Cloud9 and MOUZ should be relatively one-sided
  • Heroic should be looking for an easy win over Team Spirit
  • There should be a tight semi final race between FURIA, the home team, and world number four Natus Vincere
Rio Major Predictions

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Outsiders vs Fnatic Pick

 Outsiders

Outsiders vs Fnatic Prediction

Both teams have identical records in the Legends Stage, but there’s a disparity between the two teams in terms of skill. Seeds three and four from the swiss format round will play in the first quarterfinal on November 10.

Outsiders Out To Prove A Point After Impressive Group Stage

After their loss to Heroic in their first game of the Legends stage, world number six Outsiders have since been on a five-win streak. Back-to-back wins against Ninjas in Pyjamas and Team Spirit and a 2-0 sweep over MOUZ set them comfortably up as third seed.

Dzhami 'Jame' Ali has been the pick of their players, with a 1.30 HLTV rating and 1.24 impact rating in the tournament. He's averaged 0.49 deaths, 77 damage and 0.77 kills per round with a KAST score of 77% across all five maps.  Another at the top of his game is Petr 'fame' Bolyshev, who has averaged 0.75 kills per round out of which 63.4% have been headshots. He's rated at 1.19, and his impact rating is 1.23.

Fnatic Are Underdogs But Ready To Put Up A Fight

Aside from a heavy loss to Heroic in the Round 2 High, Fnatic have since been undefeated. They beat ENCE and NiP quite comfortably before a convincing 2-0 sweep over BIG in the final round. 

Dion ‘FASHR’ Derksen and William ‘mezii’ Merriman have been Fnatic’s two top performers in the tournament so far. FASHR averages 0.66 deaths, 80.7 damage and 0.76 kills per round of which nearly 50% have been headshots. He's rated at 1.19 with an impact rating of 1.14 and a KAST score of 76.4%, while mezii is rated at 1.18.  roeJ has attempted the team’s highest number of opening kills, 25% with a success rate of 54.8% while maintaining a rating of 1.17. 

MOUZ vs Cloud9 Pick 

 Cloud9

MOUZ vs Cloud9 Prediction

Seed number one takes on number eight in the second quarterfinal on November 11. Cloud9 are at the top of their game going unbeaten in the tournament so far, and MOUZ are up against a massive challenge.

MOUZ Are Into The Playoffs But Lack Confidence

World number seven MOUZ have a 3-2 record coming off the Legends stage, and are up against their toughest opponents yet. While they beat Team Liquid, Team Vitality and ENCE, heavy losses to BIG and Outsiders kept them out of the top four.

As predicted, David 'frozen' Čerňanský has been the backbone of this lineup. He's only 20 but had a massive impact for his side in the tournament, with a 1.19 HLTV rating and 1.07 impact rating, as well as 0.5 deaths, 73.8 damage and 0.71 kills on average per round. His rating on the CT side, 1.21, is even higher than the T side.

Cloud9 Have Eyes On The Prize After Perfect Campaign

Cloud9 have been on a roll, going unbeaten in all three games in the tournament so far. Convincing victories over the world’s best teams FaZe Clan, Natus Vincere and Heroic set them up as first seed, and they look to be the strongest of the lot.

sh1ro, nafany and Ax1Le have all been at their peak, and it’s hard to pick which of these three world-class players have made the most difference to their side. Dmitry 'sh1ro' Sokolov averages 0.49 deaths, 83.7 damage and 0.85 kills per round, along with a 77.3% KAST score. He's rated at 1.40, his impact rating currently at 1.49. These are incredible numbers, well supported by nafany who has an impact rating of 1.48 and an average of 0.81 kills per round in the tournament.

Team Spirit vs Heroic Pick

Heroic

Team Spirit vs Heroic Prediction

Heroic are the firm favorites in this game, and are title contenders along with Cloud9. They’ll be looking to knock Spirit out of contention and advance to the semifinals.

Team Spirit Need To Step Up Their Game In The Playoffs

Spirit finished as sixth seed with a 3-2 record, their opening win over the Bad News Eagles followed by losses to FURIA and Outsiders. Wins over Sprout and Team Liquid acted as some damage control, and while they couldn’t get to the top four they still managed to qualify.

Spirit have the fourth-best team-wise rating in the tournament at 1.12. This is largely due to Patsi,  magixx and w0nderful, who are rated at 1.15, 1.14 and 1.19 respectively. 19-year-old Robert 'Patsi' Isyanov in particular has been invaluable to the side, carrying an impact rating of 1.16 from all eight maps he's played in the tournament. He averages 0.68 deaths, 85.2 damage and 0.71 kills per round, along with a KAST score of 73%.

Heroic Are Title Favorites But Got A Reality Check

Heroic started off strong with healthy wins over Outsiders and Fnatic, but a 2-0 drubbing at the hands of Cloud9 put an end to their hopes of finishing in the top two seeds. 

Casper 'cadiaN' Møller has attempted 26.1% of Heroic’s opening kills, and found success 55.8% of the time. He’s been the standout performer for Heroic in the tournament, maintaining a HLTV rating of 1.13 and impact rating of 1.25 along with an average of 0.58 deaths, 71 damage and 0.70 kills per round.

FURIA Esports vs Natus Vincere Pick

 Natus Vincere

FURIA Esports vs Natus Vincere Prediction

NaVi might be the world number four, but FURIA are in the form of their lives and have the advantage of home support. The odds back Na Vi here but it’s hard to overlook FURIA either, because they’re more than capable of putting up a fight.

FURIA Esports Have Home Advantage 

FURIA are playing a major in their home country for the first time, and their campaign has been as close to perfect as it can get. They went unbeaten against ENCE, Team Spirit, and BIG to finish 3-0 as second seed. Statistically they have been the best team in the tournament, holding a team-wise rating of 1.23 along with a kill-death ratio of 1.28

yuurih has been sensational, his 1.42 rating the best not only for his side but in the entire tournament. He holds an impact rating of 1.61 and 74.5% KAST score, along with an average of 0.88 kills, 92.9 damage and 0.54 deaths per round. KSCERATO too is rated all the way up at 1.29.

Natus Vincere Are Still Contenders Despite Unsteady Start

Na Vi finished with a 3-2 record, the world number four looking a little off-color but still managing to qualify for the playoffs as sixth seed. Back-to-back losses to Cloud9 and Team Liquid kept them out of the top four, but they salvaged the sixth seed through victories against BNE and BIG.

Their standout performer has been Oleksandr 's1mple' Kostyliev, who holds a 1.31 HLTV rating - the third best in the tournament - and a 1.30 impact rating in the tournament along with 0.80 average kills and 85.4 average damage per round.

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How to watch IEM Rio Major

  • Teams: Outsiders vs Fnatic, MOUZ vs Cloud9, Team Spirit vs Heroic, FURIA vs Natus Vincere
  • Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • Time: 11:30 AM EST onwards on November 10
  • How to watch: Official ESL CS:GO Twitch Channel


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AUTHOR

Nikhil Kalro

251 Articles

With an interest in strategy and mathematics, applying that to sports writing was the natural progression. A writer at night and the founder of a gaming company, Nikhil’s previous experience includes working with ESPN for five years. His specialization includes soccer, basketball, tennis, and esports betting. Email: [email protected]

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