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In a change of format, just 80 players take part and there is no cut
Pebble Beach will host three of the four rounds, Spyglass Hill the other
Favorite Rory McIlroy makes his first start on the PGA TOUR this season
Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our BetMGM promo code WSNMGM - bet $5, get $158 in bonus bets.
Jordan Spieth for the win at +1800 with BetMGM
Max Homa to beat Collin Morikawa over 72 holes at -120 DraftKings Sportsbook
Beau Hossler for Top 10 at +450 with DraftKings Sportsbook
Bettors need a break after a series of shock wins on the PGA TOUR this season.
Chris Kirk’s victory at The Sentry set the tone, and since then winners are becoming even more left-field.
Grayson Murray won the Sony Open at a huge price, amateur Nick Dunlap caused a huge surprise by landing The American Express and Frenchman Matthieu Pavon rewrote the history books to walk off with first prize at the Farmers Insurance Open.
Pebble Beach has had its own list of unlikely champions down the years but the chances of another this time are vastly reduced.
Instead of the usual field of 156, only 80 players take part due to the tournament being given ‘Signature’ status.
With that comes a format change too.
Rather than play three courses before returning to Pebble Beach for Sunday’s closer, just two are used.
Pebble and Spyglass Hill share duties on Thursday and Friday, with amateurs involved too.
But on the weekend, all the action is at Pebble as the amateurs step aside to leave it to the pros.
There is remarkable uniformity in the winning score with the champion shooting either 18-under or 19-under in each of the last five editions.
|Champion, nationality, and winning score
|Justin Rose (England) -18
|Tom Hoge (United States) -19
|Daniel Berger (United States) -18
|Nick Taylor (Canada) -19
|Phil Mickelson (United States) -19
Only two courses are being used - Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill
Pebble, which stages three of the four rounds, is a par 72 of 6,972 yards
Spyglass Hill hosts one pre-weekend round. It’s a 7,041-yard par 72
Conditions are set to be wet with rain forecast on all four days
Rory missed the cut on his one start in this event in 2018 but returned a year later to log a solid tied ninth when Pebble Beach staged the 2019 US Open won by Gary Woodland. The Northern Irishman has started 2024 with a bang after a win and a second in the two DP World Tour events held in the United Arab Emirates.
The World No.1 hasn’t been as fast out of the blocks as McIlroy so far. Scheffler posted a promising fifth in The Sentry but had to settle for 17th at The American Express. He recorded negative Strokes Gained: Putting stats in both to suggest his Achilles Heel hasn’t yet been eradicated. As for course form, there is none. It’s Scheffler’s tournament debut while he missed the cut in the 2019 US Open at Pebble.
After playing some brilliant golf at the back end of last season to win the final two playoff events and hoist the FedEx Cup, Hovland is easing his way back into things so far in 2024. He’s played just once, settling for 22nd (out of 59) at The Sentry. He’s had three looks at Pebble and shown good signs in each. The Norwegian was 12th in the 2019 US Open, then 38th (2020) and 13th (2023) in two starts at this tournament.
The top 50 in last year’s FedEx Cup all compete this week so the field is stacked.
Xander Schauffele comes very close to selection given his strong start to the season but is somewhat short at +1200.
Instead, the vote goes to Jordan Spieth at +1800 with BetMGM.
While many of the leading lights have either patchy or non-existent form at Pebble Beach, Spieth is a bona fide course horse.
He won this event in 2017, was runner-up in 2022, third in 2021, fourth in 2014, seventh in 2015, and ninth in 2020.
Overall, the three-time Major winner has a win, five other top 10s, and a further three top 25s here.
“Pebble Beach is probably a top-3 course in the world for me,” said Spieth last year.
With rain forecast all week, it’s also interesting to hear Spieth note: “I seem to find comfort in the uncomfortable. So I actually kind of root for some of the tougher conditions here.”
After logging a third place at The Sentry in his only start of 2024, the 30-year-old looks primed to land a 14th PGA TOUR win.
With his high-class consistency, Max Homa is an ideal man to have on your side in a 72-hole match bet and I’ll take him to get the better of Collin Morikawa this week at -120 with bet365.
Homa has finished in the top 15 in each of his last nine events. That includes 14th (The Sentry) and 13th (Farmers Insurance) in his two starts in January.
Morikawa opened the year brightly with fifth at The Sentry but suffered a surprise halfway exit when missing the Farmers cut last week.
While it’s 1-1 in head-to-heads in 2024, Homa wins the course form battle.
Morikawa hasn’t found room for this event on his schedule and his only Pebble start resulted in tied 35th in the 2019 US Open.
By contrast, Homa has pegged it up six times here, his last three visits resulting in finishes of 7-14-10.
Beau Hossler caught the eye with a strong final round at the Farmers Insurance Open last week, a Sunday 68 securing tied sixth and a third top 10 from his last five PGA TOUR starts.
He’s shown his chops at Pebble too with 11th last year and third in 2022.
Back him at +450 with DraftKings Sportsbook for a top 10.
Tournament: The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Location: Pebble Beach, CA
Date: Thursday, February 01 - Sunday, February 04
How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 3 p.m.-7 p.m ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 1 p.m-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-7 p.m. (CBS), Sunday 1 p.m-3 p.m. (Golf Channel), 3 p.m.-6.30 p.m. (CBS). And all four days on Sky Sports.
Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.
Email: [email protected]More info on Dave Tindall
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