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Tyrrell Hatton Top 20 at +115 with bet365
Justin Thomas to beat Sungjae Im at -120 with bet365
Lucas Herbert +6000 win and +550 top 10 with DraftKings Sportsbook
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It might not seem much but this one week of linksland golf in Scotland ahead of next week’s final major championship of year has become an increasingly important route for golfers hoping to lift the Claret Jug.
Until 2010 the Scottish Open was played at Loch Lomond, an inland course that was a competitive preparation for the Open but not one that helped players get ready for the conditions they would face.
In 2011 the event moved to the seaside and since then seven players have teed it up, made the cut and then won the Open a week later.
That, then, is the sub-plot in a week that could be wet and windy on the East Lothian coast east of Edinburgh.
That, in itself, might be good prep because the British Open is likely to be wet, too.
Welcome to the British summer!
Year | Champion, winning score and venue |
2022 | Xander Schauffele (U.S.) -7 at Renaissance |
2021 | Min Woo Lee (Australia) -18 at Renaissance |
2020 | Aaron Rai (England) -11 at Renaissance |
2019 | Bernd Wiesberger (Austria) -22 at Renaissance |
2018 | Brandon Stone (South Africa) -20 at Gullane |
2017 | Rafa Cabrera Bello (Spain) -13 at Dundonald |
2016 | Alex Noren (Sweden) -14 at Castle Stuart |
2015 | Rickie Fowler (U.S.) -12 at Gullane |
2014 | Justin Rose (England) -16 at Royal Aberdeen |
2013 | Phil Mickelson (U.S.) -17 at Castle Stuart |
His tournament debut in 2021 was a first competitive round of golf on the linksland and a 72 left him outside the top 100. He responded with a 63 to make the cut and eventually finished 12th. He did miss the cut last year but remains in supreme form (never outside the top 12 throughout all of 2023) and has been top 10 after seven of his eight British Open rounds.
When he first played Renaissance in 2019, finishing 34th, he was among those who believed this modern, American-style links track was no great introduction to the British Open. He also missed the cut last year and you suspect he has next week rather than this on his mind. He has notched five top 10 finishes on the bounce but has no win since January.
When the American won here last year it completed a hat trick, following success in the Travelers Championship and the elite field JP McManus Pro-Am. He returns off a run of 10 straight top 25 finishes but none of the last four have been better than 10th. Conclusion? He’s a threat but not in the form that saw him win last year.
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Last year’s edition of this tournament was not the first time that Americans showed up in numbers but it was the first time it was an official PGA Tour-sanctioned event.
The effect was profound with eight of the top nine finishers PGA Tour regulars.
The weather forecast is not too great this week (expect wind and rain) which might favor Europeans so maybe start this week with a player who is both local and a PGA Tour member.
Tyrrell Hatton is in great form with six top-20s in his last seven starts.
He’s also very good on Scottish linksland with 13 top 20s in his last 17 starts.
Take bet365’s +115 for another top 20 which is bigger than elsewhere.
Korea’s Sungjae Im has only played three times on the linksland and it hasn’t gone well.
On debut in the British Open, he missed the cut, in his Scottish Open bow he missed the cut, and in last year’s British Open he did make the cut but he finished 81st.
Justin Thomas admits that, although he enjoys links golf, he is yet to play well on it.
But he has little to beat in Im.
At the British Open Thomas is 4-for-6 at making the cut and in the Scottish Open 2-for-3.
The latter record includes two top 10s on this course.
He has to be backed in bet365’s match-up -120.
The Aussie Lucas Hebert is already a winner on the PGA Tour by the sea - in the Bermuda Championship.
This week will be very different but he’s played Renaissance four times and twice finished fourth.
A winner on the DP World Tour in April he was 15th last time out on the PGA Tour and can contend this week.
Back him at +6000 for the win and +550 for a top 10 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Read our golf betting guide to learn everything you need to know on how to bet on golf.
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]
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