The Genesis Invitational Predictions, Betting Odds & Top Picks

Genesis Invitational Odds

  • Eight of the world’s top 10 head to Pacific Palisades in LA
  • Riviera Country Club plays host for the 58th time
  • Aussie Adam Scott defends at the famed Californian track

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The Genesis Invitational Odds

Player Odds
Dustin Johnson +550
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Jon Rahm +1200
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Rory McIlroy +1250
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Justin Thomas +1400
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Xander Schauffele +1550
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Patrick Cantlay +1600
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Bryson DeChambeau +1700
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Tony Finau +2200
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Brooks Koepka +2500
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Collin Morikawa +3300
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Viktor Hovland +3500
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The Genesis Invitational Predictions and Picks

Local Californians have a strong record in this event and in-form Patrick Cantlay can be the latest Golden State winner. Back him at +1600 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Jordan Spieth may struggle to continue his recent revival at tough Riviera. Back the steady Matt Fitzpatrick to beat him over 72 holes -106 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Australians often thrive at Riviera and Cameron Davis’s solid current/California form suggests he can land a top 20 at +335 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Picks

Patrick Cantlay for the win +1600 DraftKings Sportsbook

Matthew Fitzpatrick to beat Jordan Spieth in a 72-hole match -106 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Cameron Davis to land a top 20 at +335 DraftKings Sportsbook

The Genesis Invitational

The Genesis Invitational Event Information
What The Genesis Invitational
Where Riviera Country Club, Pacific Palisades, CA
When Thursday, February 18 – Sunday, February 21
How to Watch Thursday 12pm-8pm ET (Golf Channel), Friday 2pm-6pm (Golf Channel), Saturday 1pm-3pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-6pm (CBS). Sunday 1pm-3pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-6.30pm (CBS). All 4 days on Sky Sports

The Genesis Invitational Profile

Fittingly, for the PGA TOUR’s annual stop in Los Angeles, there’s a star-studded cast heading to Riviera Country Club for the latest edition of The Genesis Invitational. No less than eight of the world’s top 10 pegs it up at the famed L.A. track, the only omissions fifth-ranked Tyrrell Hatton and No.9 Webb Simpson.

Dustin Johnson, a past winner here, heads the betting while Adam Scott returns to defend the title he won 12 months ago.

Riviera was designed by George C. Thomas Jr. and William P Bell and will be staging this event for the 58th time.

The challenging course is a par 71 which measures 7,322 yards. Scott won with 11-under 273 last year while 6-under was sufficient for James Hahn to take the title in 2015. Hahn beat DJ and Paul Casey in a play-off and the tournament can throw up the odd surprise winner.

It’s also a good venue for multiple winners. Scott was tasting victory for the second time 12 months ago while Bubba Watson is a three-time champion at Riviera after successes in 2014, 2016, and 2018.

Bizarrely for a California kid, Tiger Woods has never hoisted the silverware here. That won’t happen this year either. Woods is the tournament host but won’t be playing as he recovers from last month’s back procedure.

When it comes to the nationality of recent winners, there’s an interesting quirk: the last 14 are either Americans (12) or Australians (2). Aussies have won four of the editions since the turn of the century and generally find themselves at home on the Kikuyu fairways, a strain unusual to the US but familiar to Australia.

It’s not been a good event for Europeans in terms of wins. The last Euro to take the trophy was Nick Faldo in 1997 and, before him, you have to go back to 1938 to find another Euro champion.

Cantlay Can Cash in on Home Advantage

This used to be a good event for the local Californian players.

Corey Pavin won it back-to-back in 1994 and 1995 before Craig Stadler triumphed in 1996 as another Cali star, Scott Simpson, finished runner-up.

Phil Mickelson added another pair of wins for Golden State golfers with victories in 2008 and 2009 and since then there was surprise wins for two more California residents, John Merrick in 2013 and James Hahn in 2015.

Merrick hailed from nearby Long Beach, as does the man who could become the latest home state winner, Patrick Cantlay. Cantlay played this course plenty in his UCLA days and has confirmed his love of “The Riv” in the last three years. The 28-year-old was fourth in 2018, added a top 15 in 2018, and again cracked the top 20 in 2020. On a tough track, 11 of his last 12 rounds at Riviera have been par or better. He returns to one of his favorite venues in sparkling form. Cantlay won the ZOZO Championship in his penultimate start of 2020 and he’s hit the ground running in 2021.

After shaking off some rust in the Sentry Tournament of Champions, he’s shown his ability to thrive in familiar conditions with top-three finishes in his last two events – both in California. First, he was runner-up at The American Express after firing 65-61 on the weekend and he then opened up with 62 in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am before taking third. It’s a classy field he has to beat but Cantlay did that at both the ZOZO and the 2019 Memorial Tournament and he appears to have all his ducks in a row.

Back him at +1600 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Fitzpatrick Can Outscore Spieth

It’s been a welcome sight to see Jordan Spieth contending in the last two weeks. The three-time major winner was fourth at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and third at Pebble Beach. So, more of the same this week then? Hmmm, I’m not so sure. Golf has a rhythm where players come into focus for a while before fading and this could be where Spieth takes a little step backward.

Spieth has some decent results at Riviera early in his career but he’s been T51 and T59 the last two years and this isn’t a good place to start hitting wayward drives, his main problem in recent times. Spieth got away with that to a large extent at TPC Scottsdale and Pebble Beach but Riviera will be less forgiving. Matt Fitzpatrick looks like a solid option to take Spieth on with.

The Englishman beat Spieth here 12 months ago when finishing T30 on debut and he has the steady game and tactical nous (Billy Foster is on the bag) to improve on that this time. Fitzpatrick closed out 2020 with victory at the European Tour’s season-ending DP World Tour Championship and he posted T17 at the Dubai Desert Classic on his latest start.

Take Fitzpatrick to burst Spieth’s bubble at -106 DraftKings Sportsbook.

Davis To Land In Top 20

As noted above, Australians have a good record in this event, and news that the course is playing firm will be further music to the ears of those who hail from Down Under. One of the most consistent Aussie performers on the West Coast Swing has been Cameron Davis.

In the three California events, he’s finished third at The American Express, T32 at the Farmers Insurance, and T14 at Pebble Beach. He’s not finished worse than T38 in his last eight starts in California and that consistency makes him a good candidate for a Top 20/30/40 punt (DraftKings Sportsbook offers all those options). But despite missing the cut on his one previous start at Riviera in 2019 (72-71), his current form suggests he can make a much better impression this time.

Davis has been particularly strong off the tee in recent weeks and ranked fifth for Strokes Gained: Putting at Pebble.

Backing him for a top 20 at +335 with DraftKings Sportsbook looks a smart play.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.



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